Chester Placepot Picks, 30th August 2013

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Geegeez Placepot

When you’re down, you’re down, and we got kicked yesterday as well. Another first leg blowout, this time the 20/1 outsider of four. That set up a whopping £4,906 dividend, won by just 7.45 units. Nice.

Chester this afternoon…

2.00 – Leg 1: A mile maiden for juveniles kicks us off, and it’s a long way for such young horses. Bow Creek has the benefit of both ability and experience. Yenhaab is bred for this, and runs for strong connections. The betting suggests he’ll be forward enough to run well on his debut.

A – 2 (Bow Creek), 9 (Yenhaab)

2.30 – Leg 2: Maiden fillies next, and a strong Newmarket presence, headed by lasses from the Gosden, Cecil and Cumani stables. Johnny G’s Snow Powder may be the pick of them, having run a close third over this trip last time out at Newbury. Lower down the lists, top Chester pilot Franny Norton partners Evermore, and looks set to bounce out and control things from the front aboard a filly stepping up to a trip for which she’s bred.

A – 10 (Snow Powder)
B – 6 (Evermore)

3.00 – Leg  3: The Confessor is a confirmed front runner drawn one in this seven furlong handicap. The other habitual pace pressers are mainly drawn much wider, and this chap could get his own way today, with both trainer and jockey in good form at present. Chosen Character is interesting, though might just still be a bit high in the weights, while Laffan looks set to bounce back and may be winning soon.

King Of Eden too is falling back to a winnable mark, but he’ll need plenty to go right to win from a pocket, which is where he might well find himself (drawn low, hold up type). Verse Of Love on the other hand should get a lovely tow into the business end from The Confessor, and has stamina to make it count. He’s also below his best winning mark again now.

A – 3 (The Confessor), 13 (Verse Of Love)
B – 1 (Chosen Character), 6 (Laffan), 9 (King Of Eden)

3.35 – Leg 4: This is wide open. Ningara ticks a lot of boxes, but may not have the scope of some of his rivals. Nonetheless, he’s been there and done it, so is included. Topamichi is consistent, won over course and distance last time, and is seeking a hat-trick here: he may not be done with yet. And Yarroom has been running well in better races, and may not be long in getting his head in front.

A – 1 (Yarroom), 6 (Ningara), 9 (Topamichi)

4.05 – Leg 5: Non-runners in the last two legs have made them both seven runner affairs, and therefore we have just two places to fire at. Nevertheless, DBS Premier Yearling Stakes third, Nezar, is a long way clear on the evidence of that huge run, and ought to be in the first two. He’s due to go up just over a stone in the ratings and is 15 pounds ‘well in’ today.

A – 4 (Nezar)

4.40 – Leg 6: A two mile handicap, and one in which the sole 3yo, Statutory, carries bottom weight despite being the highest rated horse in the field. Yes, it’s the weight for age allowance again. Nobody, with the possible exception of Johnny G, exploits the WFA scale better than Mark Johnston, Statutory’s trainer; and this chap ought to run a screamer with Chester Franny again booked to steer.

Of his elders, Kashgar ran too badly to be true last time and, if you overlook that, he comes here on a four-timer. He’s a course and distance winner, and will be fine on the ground. His trainer, Bernard Llewellyn, normally does well at this time of year too. He’s a big price at around 14/1.

Zenafire is bred to be a miler, and yet has been more impressive the further he’s gone. He won by three lengths over a mile and three quarters, and deserves a crack at this extra quarter mile. Softsong is dropping enormously in grade, and is an under the radar placepot type that has been backed.

A – 8 (Statutory)
B – 2 (Softsong), 6 (Zenafire), 7 (Kashgar)

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Just A’s – 2 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 1 x 1 = 12 bets

All picks – 2 x 2 x 5 x 3 x 1 x 4 = 240 bets

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Chester placepot picks

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