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A nice win bet on Finn Class, but the placepot was sunk late on. We’ll have another crack at the same venue this afternoon, with a similar mixed card, starting at 2.20
2.20 – Leg 1: Travis Bickle has the coveted rail draw, but if he traps like he did last time, he’ll struggle to take advantage of it. On the bright side, he ran on well over five and will be better over this six. On the down side, he could find himself in a pocket, and he may not handle turf as well as he did the polytrack.
Outback Traveller ran better than many Noseda horses do on his debut, and he’s nicely stalled in nine; while Almargo wouldn’t have to be a world beater to win this, and plenty of Charlie Appleby’s nags have been ready first time.
A – 1 (Almargo), 9 (Outback Traveller)
2.50 – Leg 2: It’s 5/1 the field stuff in this big field nursery, with improvement expected from some stepping out of maiden company for the first time. However, Dovil’s Duel has already run in, and won, a big field handicap, and conditions are in his favour. He’s a pretty reliable ‘pot horse.
Of the maiden mob, Connaught Water has the rail, and the speed to use it, but he’s been beaten far enough in all three runs to date. Queen Of The Tarts is small but nippy, and she’s dropping in class after two decent runs in handicaps already. Desert Colours was behind Dovil’s Duel last time, but is much better drawn here, one off the rail and may take some pegging back if he can bag that ‘golden highway’.
Jersey Cream may appreciate the drop back in trip, and Captain Ryan can’t be discounted on his first stab at six poles. This is, as you’ll have gathered, very open, Dovil’s Duel aside.
A – 1 (Dovil’s Duel)
B – 4 (Captain Ryan), 6 (Jersey Cream), 7 (Queen Of The Tarts), 9 (Desert Colours)
3.20 – Leg 3: Radiator is luke warm in the betting (sorry!), and she cannot be singled here. A much more reliable place proposition is Zawiyah, the second favourite, who was green on debut and ran much more professionally last time. This extra eighth will be to her advantage, and she could win. She certainly ought to make the frame, and I’ve had a small bet at 9/4 BOG for her to win.
A – 9 (Zawiyah)
3.50 – Leg 4: A desperate race. The top two in the betting are most likely, but not highly likely. The next two include a 51-rated horse, and the unraced beast makes more appeal than that in a maiden. Two on A and two on B, and let’s have a bomb please. Next!
A – 5 (Tingle Tangle), 7 (Poitin)
B – 3 (Pastoral Dancer), 4 (Another Name)
4.20 – Leg 5: We’re back on the sand for what looks a match between Bert The Alert and Conducting, both of which have course and distance form. Elusive Band ran all right over this trip at Chepstow last time, and is weighted to get involved. But I think it’s a match and I’m staking accordingly.
A – 1 (Conducting), 2 (Bert The Alert)
4.50 – Leg 6: Al Jamal has been very well backed, and she’s won two of her three starts, both at a mile. But the one run beyond that distance, when she didn’t settle, she didn’t get home. There might have been another reason that day, but she’s very short – around 6/4 – here, and they’re hardly likely to go a fast gallop today either. She’s included in the ‘pot but she might make a bet elsewhere with value against her.
Tribal Path ran easily his best race on this track, when running away with a maiden. Either side of that he’d been well beaten on turf, and the return to poly might work the oracle for him. Autun has looked a tough horse with which to win, but he’s consistent and has proven poly form from Kempton. And High Time Too has been in the first three in all six of his all weather runs, a repeat of which would put him bang there.
Neither Stresa nor Tinghir can be confidently ruled out in what is a real head scratcher. The only thing I’m sure of is that Al Jamal is too short, whether she wins or not. Perhaps Tribal Path is worth a chance back on the all weather at around 11/2.
A – 3 (Al Jamal), 7 (Tribal Path)
B – 1 (Autun), 5 (High Time Too)
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