Double Dutch, 11th September 2013
The booking of William Buick proved a good move for Nautilus yesterday and he was well backed from 13/8 to 6/5, before justifying the market faith by running on well to win by the best part of five lengths. Discay was outpaced late on and finished third.
This gave us a great chance of securing a double in race 2, but Bondi Beach Boy’s third place at 4/1 was the best we could manage. Our selection finished well enough, but didn’t have the final burst of pace needed to go with the eventual winner. He had to take minor evasive action a couple of times in the final furlong, but it’s doubtful whether that made much difference to the result, as he was beaten by about a length and a half.
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
Nautilus : won at 13/8 (SP 6/5)
Discay : 3rd
Bondi Beach Boy: 3rd
Avon Breeze: unplaced
Trial to date:
4 winning selections from 22 = 18.18%
0 winning doubles in 6 days
P/L : -9.90pts (-86.09% ROI)
Still no joy, but if at first you don’t succeed, you should try again. And so it is for today with the…
This is a six-horse race and the two I think most likely to take this event are Trop Fort and Faultless Feelings.
Trop Fort runs off a mark of 125 here today, but is rated as high as 134 over hurdles and if he jumps a clear round, will be hard to beat here. He has finished fourth and then second in his two chase starts to date and has shown promise in each of them, especially last time out. It is expected that he’ll relish the step up to 3 miles and decent ground seems to be his preference too.
Faultless Feelings shouldn’t be found wanting for stamina, with a win at this trip already under his belt. He’ll be looking to make amends for a poor display over hurdles last time out, as he makes his chasing debut here today. He looks to have the right build for a chaser and did manage to win on his only attempt at an Irish points race.
Best prices for these two at present are 11/10 & 4/1 with Bet365 and BetVictor respectively
It’s very hard to look beyond the first two in the market here. There’s likely to be little difference in the prices of Bob Lingo and Sin Palo either.
Bob Lingo has form here at Galway, including a course and distance win in the 2012 Galway Plate. He has, admittedly not been at his best of late, but this race represents a quite large drop in class for a horse of his undoubted ability and if running to anything like his current mark, should take this at 13/8 (BetVictor).
Sin Palo will, however, be waiting in the wings to seize an opportunity to score. He’s not of the same calibre on paper, but is proving to be a reliable sort and the trip will be of no consequence to him, as he has already won a race that was 3 furlongs longer than this one. He’s also best priced at 13/8 (Coral, Hills and Bet365)
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Trop Fort / Bob Lingo @ 5.50 with BetVictor
Trop Fort / Sin Palo @ 5.50 with Bet365
Faultless Feelings / Bob Lingo @ 13.10 with BetVictor
Faultless Feelings / Sin Palo @ 11.79 with Bet365