Double Dutch, 12th September 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 12th September 2013

DD for Double Dutch is unfortunately (just like its predecessor Daily Dabble) quickly turning into Daily Disappointment.

Faultless Feelings was pretty much faultless yesterday, as she showed the chasing pack a clean pair of heels to win by 18 lengths at an SP of 11/4 after we’d taken 4/1 earlier in the day. This meant we’d a nice stake on two fancied runners at Galway: two horses I fully expected to finish 1-2, yet neither of them made the frame.

It was a messy race and Bob Lingo proved to be our best shot at glory, but he had nothing left to give on the run-in, finishing in third place, just two lengths away from the winner. It was close, but not close enough in a sport where an inch might as well be a mile in some cases.

Yesterday’s results were as follows:

Faultless Feelings : won at 4/1 (SP 11/4)
Trop Fort : 3rd
Bob Lingo: (unplaced) 3rd
Sin Palo: unplaced

Trial to date:

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5 winning selections from 26 = 19.23%
0 winning doubles in 7 days

Stakes: 13.5pts
Returns: 1.6pts

P/L : -11.90pts (-88.15% ROI)

It’s not looking good so far, but Rome wasn’t built in a day, so we soldier on with the…

2.50 Epsom

This is a pretty weak maiden and the withdrawal of standout horse and likely favourite Erroneous makes this a two-horse race in my opinion.

Mime Dance has shown some promise and consistency at this level, despite not winning any of his three starts to date, but he ran pretty well on his outing here over course and distance two months ago, when finishing third and his experience of the track should stand him in good stead, as should the booking of excellent claiming jockey Thomas Brown, who’ll take a valuable three pounds off today.

The other main contender is Needless Shouting who has been knocking on the door of late, finishing third three times in his last four outings. He has shown that he can see out a trip of a mile in the past and has been improving with each run and was only caught close to home last time out at Sandown.

As expected, the withdrawal of Erroneous leaves these two at the head of the market with best prices of 15/8 (Coral & Boylesports) and 5/2 (Coral) respectively.

3.15 Doncaster

Hard to see this race not going to the two at the head of the market, despite the poor record of favourites here yesterday.

The Lark finished 4th on debut on good to soft ground and then shed her maiden tag here at Doncaster on soft ground. Her latest outing was an excellent third place in this year’s Oaks, where once again she showed she likes some cut in the ground, which she’ll get again today. She’s well liked by the market, where she’s generally a 7/4 shot (Coral offer 15/8)

Her main danger comes from Seal of Approval, whose career record of 2111 is very impressive and there’s no reason to suggest that she has finished improving. She shaped as though she’d want further than the 10f last time out when taking a Listed race at Newbury and I’d expect her to see the extra 2f out here today.

I don’t see there being too much between them today, but Seal of Approval may offer better value at 5/2 (Paddy Power, Bet365).

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Mime Dance / The Lark @ 8.29 with Coral
Mime Dance / Seal of Approval @ 10.05 with Bet365
Needless Shouting / The Lark @ 10.08 with Coral
Needless Shouting / Seal of Approval @ 11.38 with Bet365 and/or Paddy Power

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