Sat TV Trends – 14th Sept 2013
Andy Newton is on hand with the key TV trends this Saturday from Chester and Doncaster……
Doncaster (C4/ATR)
2.05 – At The Races Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won by a Feb or March foal
10/12 – Had over 7f before
10/12 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Finished third or better last time out
8/12 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or the Curragh last time out
7/12 – Won their most recent
7/12 – Raced 3 or more times that season
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/12 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
2/12 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/12 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
1/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 11 renewals is 11/2
Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat
2.40 – Ladbrokes Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y CH4
11/11 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/11 – Had run 5 or more times that season
9/11 – Won 4 or more times in their career
9/11 – Won over 6f before
9/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/11 – Unplaced Favourites
8/11 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
8/11 – Came from a double-figure stall
7/11 – Run at Doncaster previously
6/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc last 6 years)
6/11 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/11 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/11 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Won by the David Marnane yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 14/1
3.15 – OLBG Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4
9/10 – Run 3 or more times that season
9/10 – Run at either Goodwood (4), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
9/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/10 – Unplaced in their most recent race
8/10 – Won over 7f before
8/10 – Aged 4 or older
8/10 – Won 3 or more times before
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Won a Group race previously
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Won a Group race previously
6/10 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/10 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 7/1
11/11 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
11/11 – Finished the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Never raced over 1m6f or further previously
9/11 – Raced 4 or 5 times that season
9/11 – Favourites placed
9/11 – Had never raced at Doncaster previously
8/11 – Officially rated 109 to 115
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/11 – Priced 8/1 or less in the betting
8/11 – Had won a Group race previously
7/11 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
7/11 – Had won over at least 1m3f previously
6/11 – Raced in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
6/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – USA bred winners
4/11 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/11 – Raced in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/11 – Won by John Gosden
3/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick
1/11 – Winners from drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 7.7/1
Chester (C4/RUK)
2.20 –AEJIS Handicap Cl3 7f122y CH4
Only 3 previous runnings
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
2/3 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/3 – Carried 8-13
2/3 – Returned a double-figure price
0/3 – Winning favourites
2.55 – Stella Artois Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y CH4
7 previous runnings
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
7/7 – Had 2 or more runs that season
7/7 – Had won at least twice before
6/7 – Aged 5 or younger
6/7 – Came from the top three in the betting
6/7 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
6/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Rated between 102-110
5/7 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/7 – Won at Listed or Group class before
4/7 – Ran at York last time out
3/7 – Had run at Chester before
2/7 – Winning favourites
3.30 – Justforkicx Charity Nursery Handicap Cl3 5f110y CH4
3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-2
3/3 – Priced between 9/2 and 7/1
2/3 – Ridden by Richard Mullen
0/3 – Winning favourites
CLICK ON THE RACE TITLES TO COMPARE ALL THE LATEST BOOKMAKER ODDS
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