Stat of the Day, 14th September 2013
Yesterday was one of those days where, despite beating up the market over and over (and over) again, I couldn’t get a single one of those value plays to win. That was epitomised by Sotd’s Cameron Highland, which was nominated at 10/3 and returned 2/1. Alas, it also returned behind most of its rivals having folded tamely behind the impressive winner, Tac de Boitron.
To the Curragh this afternoon, for a very high class meeting, and for us a Group 1, the…
A competitive if not necessarily top class renewal of the Irish St Leger, and the one that stands out on a stats basis is Royal Diamond. He’s something of a course and distance specialist, having won this race last year. Since then, he’s won again over the same track and trip, and also finished second on his only other try, when the ground might have been a bit too firm.
Royal Diamond’s record at a mile and six is an incredible twelve placed efforts from thirteen starts, and the full form string is 2111181213211. Good ground is ideal for him, as a record since 2009 of 11138121 attests. Combining the trip and ground gives a record of, wait for it, 11111. Hmm.
This, though, is a Group 1, and Royal Diamond’s record in Pattern races (i.e. Listed or better) reads 132121.
In other words, he’s ideally suited to today’s conditions and, as the defending champion in a race where Kayf Tara won it back to back in 1998/9 and Vinnie Roe won a remarkable four on the bounce between 2001 and 2004, he’s every chance of joining the multiple winners club.
A price of 11/2 BOG with William Hill represents value in that context, whether you want to bet win or each way. Win only is the play officially…