The Shortlist 20th September 2013

A frustrating day of crossbar-rattling for The Shortlist on its first day, with five of the seven main list picks finishing second or third, and one of the others – the one I’d had my decent bet on, of course – getting run out of it and coming home fourth.

Of real interest in the long-term, though, is the fact that all seven horses returned shorter prices than the early Best Odds Guaranteed odds, and I make no excuse for again saying that if you don’t have accounts with the BOG bookies, you’re leaking money.

(In fact, only one of the seven ‘also of interest’ horses returned bigger than the early BOG prices, and that was the 9/2 winner, Rocksilla).

The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter.

Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this:

the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive. That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they’re using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race).

So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will.

You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

Today’s racecards are here.

OK, with that said, here is today’s Shortlist, along with the best odds (all best odds guaranteed prices) at the time of writing.

2.40 Newc – Artful Prince – 4/1 SJ – WON 2/1
3.50 Newc – Royal Holiday e/w – 16/1 Betfred – 2nd 20/1
4.40 List – Empresario – 10/1 Boylesports – 8th 6/1
4.50 Newb – Tawhid – 5/2 BetVictor – WON 15/8
5.15 List – Hidden Cyclone – 15/8 PP – WON 2/1
7.10 Wolv – Capo Rosso – 11/1 BetVictor – 3rd 12/1
7.40 Wolv – Mr Red Clubs – 13/2 PP – 4th 11/4
9.10 Wolv – Monzino e/w – 25/1 bet365 – WON 25/1

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My ‘also considered’ list comprises:

3.15 Newc – Maybeagrey e/w – 14/1 bet365 – 3rd 5/1
3.25 Ayr – Bright Abbey e/w – 25/1 Ladbrokes – 12th 33/1
5.20 Newb – Pasaka Boy e/w – 25/1 bet365 – WON 17/2
5.30 Newc – One Kool Dude – 8/1 Betfred – 4th 11/2

***

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you’re backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you’ve got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

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