The Shortlist 21st September 2013


Wow! I’m almost tempted to say ‘BOOM’. Almost. Yesterday was one of those Midas days and, let’s be honest, it’s unlikely to happen again today, tomorrow or indeed any time soon. The main shortlist of eight horses highlighted four winners at prices of 4/1, 2/1, 15/8, and… 25/1! It also highlighted a second place at 20/1.

The ‘also of interest’ list flagged another 25/1 winner from just four selections!

Like I say, that’s unsustainable. But what’s really exciting for me so far is the consistency of these picks. Even when they’ve not been winning, most of them are running their races and finishing 2nd, 3rd or 4th. And so they should – after all, they’ve been selected due to the prevailing conditions suiting them very well. 🙂

The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter.

Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this:

the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive. That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they’re using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race).

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So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will.

You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

Today’s racecards are here.

OK, with that said, here is today’s Shortlist, along with the best odds (all best odds guaranteed prices) at the time of writing.

2.05 Ayr – First Mohican – 11/4 BetVictor
3.30 Newb – Maarek – 6/1 Coral
5.00 Ayr – Tariq Too – 14/1 bet365
5.40 Catt – Cara’s Request – 7/1 bet365
7.50 Wolv – Burren View Lady – 4/1 bet365


My ‘also considered’ list comprises:

2.20 Newb – Hot Streak – 8/1 Ladbrokes
2.40 Ayr – Clear Spring e/w – 22/1 BetVictor (5 places)
3.05 Newm – Lyn Valley – 9/1 bet365
3.50 Ayr – Jack Dexter – 9/1 Coral
4.15 Newm – Noverre To Go – 12/1 bet365
5.05 Catt – Zarosa e/w – 7/1 bet365
5.55 Newm – Brownsea Brink e/w – 14/1 BetVictor
6.10 Catt – Viking Warrior e/w – 20/1 Hills


As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you’re backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you’ve got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

So, if you don’t already have accounts with all the main bookmakers, you should get them. Seriously. Not only will they give you free bets when you start, but you’ll also – more importantly – always get the best value on any bet you make by ensuring you take the top price. It’s just daft not to.

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