The Shortlist 25th September 2013


Well, it had to happen, of course. No winners yesterday, and a few reverses on the place front too, with horses just failing to make the frame by small margins. A second place at 16/1 and a third at 13/2 was the best mustered, and that perhaps is a reality check for anyone who might have thought this was some sort of ‘golden goose’! 😉

There’s very little that stands out today, hence a short main list and a longer ‘of interest’ list.

The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter.

Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this:

the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive. That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they’re using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race).

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So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will.

You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

Today’s racecards are here.

OK, with that said, here is today’s Shortlist, along with the best odds (all best odds guaranteed prices) at the time of writing.

5.40 Per – Emily’s Flyer e/w – 13/2 Hills – WON 6/1
8.00 Kem – Cat O’Mountain – 7/4 Coral – WON 10/11


My ‘also considered’ list comprises:

3.15 Red – Joburg – 9/4 bet365 – 3rd 7/2
3.25 Per – It’s A Man’s World – 5/2 bet365 – 3rd 5/1
5.10 Per – Scotch Warrior – 15/2 BetVictor – 6th 13/2
5.20 Goo – Where’s Reiley e/w – 10/1 Coral – 7th 8/1
7.30 Kem – King Olav e/w – 12/1 Betfred – 13th 20/1
8.30 Kem – Dancing Welcome e/w – 12/1 BetVictor – 4th 12/1
9.00 Kem – Red Rameses – 15/2 Hills – 7th 7/1


As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you’re backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you’ve got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

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