Double Dutch, 26th September 2013
Our recent mini-revival was halted yesterday, as we failed to find a winner in either race, with our selections finishing 2nd & 3rd in both contests. Al Muheer stayed on well in race 1, but couldn’t quite get to the winner, going down by a half-length with Jo’Burg a further 3 lengths back.
Race 2 was similarly frustrating, as I’d omitted the wrong horse of the three main players. Outrageous Request was headed on the run in and was beaten by just a neck, whilst It’s A Man’s World was just two lengths off the pace in third.
Such are the margins in this fine sport, I suppose!
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
Al Muheer : 2nd
Outrageous Request: 2nd
It’s A Man’s World: 3rd
Trial to date:
19 winning selections from 77 = 24.68%
4 winning doubles in 21 days = 19.05%
P/L : -21.10pts (-51.46% ROI)
A quick return to winning ways is needed today courtesy of:
This is an interesting 4-runner race, where all the competitors won last time out, but I really like Flora Medici for this one. She comes here absolutely bang in form, having won three of her last four starts (all on similarly quick ground to today). She looked like she wanted further last time out, when her one length victory was more comfortable than the bare result looked. She gets an extra furlong today, which should suit and the selection is only tempered by a 3lb rise in weight, which is reflected in her odds of 11/4.
There’s actually little to choose between the rest, but I’d expect the 13/8 favourite Tender Emotion to be the main threat. She represents the in-form Appleby / Barzalona combination and probably has most scope for improvement of the four on show here. She hasn’t been overburdened with her opening handicap mark and although she’s a little shorter than I’d like, she’s an excellent back-up selection.
I may have read this wrong (and it wouldn’t be the first time), but I can’t see the 13/8 warm favourite The Wizard of Aus getting turned over in this one. He has been quietly progressive in each of his five runs to date finishing 76432 and was only touched off by a nose at Kempton last time out in a slowly run contest, where he stayed on well at the finish. Any repeat of that form in a race with a bit more early speed should see him break his duck.
As a secondary selection, you could turn to three or four of them, but I’m siding with 4/1 shot Abundantly, who has the benefit of having already scored over this course and distance on her only visit here in the past. Her overall record of 12172 over this trip suggests this is her optimum trip and that last defeat was by just a short head, as she failed to get home when staying on at Chepstow off the same mark as today.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles all as follows:
Tender Emotion / The Wizard of Aus @ 6.86 with BetVictor and/or Stan James
Tender Emotion / Abundantly @ 13.10 with BetVictor, Coral or Stan James
Flora Medici / The Wizard of Aus @ 9.83 with Stan James
Flora Medici / Abundantly@ 18.75 with Paddy Power, Stan James or Ladbrokes