Daily Stat Pack, 2nd October 2013
WEDNESDAY 02/10:
Kempton:
Charlie Appleby has enjoyed a great first season which his strike rate topping 19% at the time of writing. Having saddled eight of his thirty-five runners to winning effect here at Kempton, few can match (or better) his 23% ration at the Sunbury circuit.
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Newcastle:
NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:
Number of races at Newcastle: 121
Favourite stats: 40 (33.1% of races–includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)
Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
10/58–Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*-10/11*-15/8*-9/4*-5/2**-10/1)
7/40–Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1-11/4**-7/4)
6/48–David O’Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3-8/1-8/11*-25/1)
5/13–David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)
5/25–Alan Swinbank (5/2**-9/2-7/2-3/1*-16/1)
5/38–Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2-4/6*-4/7*)
5/44–Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1-7/1)
109/121 winners (90.1%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less
Trainers of beaten favourites:
8–David O’Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5-5/2**-9/2)
5–Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5-3/1-5/2)
6–Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2-3/1-2/1-7/2)
4–Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1-3/1)
4–William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2-13/8)
4–Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**-3/1)
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Nottingham:
NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:
Number of races at Nottingham: 95
Favourite stats: 36 (37.9%–includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)
Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:
4/5–Mrs K. Burke (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)
4/7–Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1)
4/11–Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1)
4/21–Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)
3/10–Ed Dunlop (6/4*-5/1-3/1)
3/12–Saeed Bin Suroor (2/5*-Evs*-4/6*)
3/13–Marco Botti (8/1-12/1-2/1*)
3/19–Michael Appleby (4/1-11/4*-9/4*)
3/21–Roy Bowring (14/1-7/1-9/1)
86/95 winners (90.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less
Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4–Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11)
3–Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1)
3–John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**)
2.00: Just two favourites have prevailed in the opening Nursery contest during the last decade.
3.35: Just two favourites have prevailed via the last thirteen renewals. It is entirely fitting that Sir Henry Cecil and Oh So Sharp are remembered in this contest, with the great filly having won on her racecourse debut here at Nottingham in 1984 under the care of the master.
4.10: Nine of the winners during the last decade have been returned at a top price of 13/2, statistics which include five successful market leaders.
5.00: Favourites have won six of the last ten contests.
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Salisbury:
SALISBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:
Number of races at Salisbury: 89
Favourite stats: 33 (37.5%–includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/19 (73.7%)
Leading trainers at Salisbury in 2013:
20/66–Richard Hannon (2/1**-1/3*-15/8*-5/2**-4/5*-5/6*-6/1-9/2-3/10*-3/1*-6/1-2/5*-5/4*-4/5*-9/2-4/5*-3/1-8/11*-2/5*-7/1)
5/5–Lady Cecil (6/4*-4/1-1/3*-11/8-8/11*)
81/89 winners (91.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less
Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10–Richard Hannon (6/4-9/4**-4/6-7/4-11/10-7/4-5/4-3/1-4/11*-9/4)
5–Luca Cumani (9/4-11/4**-2/1-12/5-5/6)
3–Ralph Beckett (4/1***-9/4-5/2**)
3–Henry Candy (4/1***-5/2-3/1)
3–William Haggas (9/4-11/4**-10/11)
3–Amanda Perrett (7/2-11/4-9/2)
3–Sir Michael Soute (2/1-Evs-1/2)
1.45 & 2.20 (two divisions): Six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won via the last twenty renewals, whilst sixteen jollies have secured toteplacepot positions. Roger Charlton saddled the winners of both divisions last year and the trainer has declared his Mastercraftsman newcomer Skilled for the first of the two heats on this occasion.
2.50: Richard Hannon has won the race six times in the last sixteen years and the trainer is represented this time around by Piping Rock and Baby Bush. Nine favourites have scored during the last eleven years with the market leader coming into this year’s event on a seven timer.
3.20: Three-year-olds have won five of the seven renewals to date.
4.30: Favourites of one description or another have won five of the last seven contests.
5.00: Five of the last ten gold medallists have scored at 33/1–20/1–20/1–20/1–14/1–11/1 whilst eight of the last eleven market leaders have failed to trouble the judge. Horses carrying 9-3 or less have secured thirteen of the last fourteen contests.
5.30: The last eight winners have carried 9-3 or more.
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