Sat TV Trends – 5th Oct 2013

Andy Newton, takes you through the four LIVE C4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that all of the last 11 Cumberland Lodge favourites have ALL been placed?

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.05 – BMW Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

10/11 – Had won over 5f previously
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Ran within the last 30 days
9/11 – Rated 98 or more
8/11 – Had raced 5 or times
8/11 – Foaled in March or later
8/11 – Won at least twice or more before
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
7/11 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd in their last race
6/11 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
4/11 – Filly winners
4/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/11 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Note: The 2004 race was run at Newmarket and the 2005 renewal was staged at Salisbury

2.40 – Grosvenor Casinos Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

11/11 – Finished fourth or better last time out
11/11 – Placed favourites
11/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/11 – Won at Listed or better class before
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
7/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Had won 4 or more times before
7/11 – Had 5 or more runs that season
7/11 – Had raced at the course before (4 won)
7/11 – Favourites to win
5/11 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/11 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/11 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/11 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Won over 6f previously
5/5 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
5/5 – Won 4 or more times previously
5/5 – Rated 100 or higher
5/5 – Had ran within the last 30 days
4/5 – Aged 4 or older
4/5 – Raced 6 or more times that season
3/5 – Returned a double-figure price
3/5 – Won their previous race
2/5 – Won by trainer Chris Wall and Royal Rock
2/5 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
1/5 – Favourites to win
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 10/1

3.50 – Betfred “Goals Galore” Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

10/11 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
10/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/11 – Won over 7f previously
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Had raced within the last 30 days
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/11 – Raced 7 or more times that season
6/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Raced at Ayr last time out
2/11 – Favourites to win
2/11 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/11 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/11 – Won their previous race
0/11 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

1.50 – £300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2YO Fillies´ Trophy Cl2 7f CH4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/5 – Foaled in February
3/5 – Had 5 previous runs
4/5 – Won between 1 and 2 previous races
4/5 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
3/5 – Horse from stall 3 finishing second
3/5 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/5 – Winning favourites
1/5 – Had won over 7f before
1/5 – Failed to win their last race
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 7/1

2.20 – £500,000 Tattersalls Millions 2YO Trophy Cl2 7f CH4

5 previous runnings
4/5 – Foaled in March (2) or April (2)
4/5 – Winning distance 1 length or less
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/5 – Won over 7f before
2/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Returned 33/1 or bigger in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
0/5 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 23/1

2.55 – Chris Blackwell Memorial Handicap Cl2 1m2f CH4

9/9 – Placed favourites
7/9 – Carried 9-1 or less
6/9 – Had 4 or more runs before
6/9 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
5/9 – Rated between 80-86
6/9 – Had only won once before
5/9 – Winning favourites
4/9 – Ran at either Pontefract (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/9 – Had run at Newmarket before (2 won)
4/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 5/1

Redcar (C4/RUK)

3.30 – totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

9/11 – Foaled in March or later
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
7/11 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
7/11 – Had won over 6f before
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by Stan Moore
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13.6/1

Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays

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