Daily Stat Pack, 9th October 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

WEDNESDAY 09/10:

Nottingham:

NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Nottingham: 102
Favourite stats: 38 (37.3%–includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:
5/9–Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1-5/1)
4/5–‘Team Burke’ (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)
4/12–Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1)
4/25–Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)

90/102 winners (88.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4–Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11)
4–John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**-9/4**)
3–Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1)
3–Luca Cumani (11/10-5/4-9/4)

3.30: The last nine winners have scored at 15/2 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites. Without naming names, top trainers have saddled the winners of this race since the old king died.

5.00: Only one of the last ten favourites has prevailed, whist winners were returned at 33/1-25/1-16/1-124/1-14/1-12/1 during the period. Seven of the last eight gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 9-1.

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Ludlow:

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LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 64
Favourite stats: 25 (39.0%–includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
5–Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)
3–Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4)
3–Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*)
3–Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)
3–Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

56/65 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8–Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)
5–Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11)
5–Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2)

Juvenile Maiden Hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Three favourites have won via the last ten contests, during which time three gold medallists have scored at 25/1-20/1-11/1. Four of the ten market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the period.

Mares Novice Hurdle scheduled for 2.40: Four of the eight favourites have finished in the frame via seven renewals, statistics which include two winners. The last six gold medallists scored at a top price of 9/2.

Closing bumper event scheduled for 5.10: Evan Williams held one option (On Tour) in the race this year having secured two of the last three contests.. Five-year-olds have won five of the six contests thus far.

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Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 63
Favourite stats: 24 (38.1%–includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
4–Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)
4–Fergal O’Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2)
4–David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3–Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)

60/63 winners sent off at a top price of 11/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3–Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)
3–Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1)
2–Kim Bailey (5/4 & 8/13)
2–Philip Hobbs (6/4 & 11/4**)
2–Sophie Leech (9/4 & 5/2)
2–Lucy Wadham (9/2** & Evs)
2–Richard Woollacott (11/4 & 3/1)

Twenty one furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 2.20: Six-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests, whilst five favourites have obliged during the last seven years. Five of the last six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Class 5 handicap hurdle over the minimum trip due to be contested at 3.20: Five-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests, whilst three market leaders have prevailed during the last decade.

Class five handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.20 over an extended nineteen furlongs: Five-year-olds have won all three renewals thus far, whilst we still await the first successful market leader.

Three of the last seven winners were returned as favourites in the three-mile handicap chase due to be contested at 4.50. The biggest priced winner emerged at 11/1 three years ago.

The NH Flat Race which closes out the programme has become something of a bookmakers benefit event thus far with three winners scoring at 33/1-22/1-7/2.

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Kempton:

Ralph Beckett continues to be a trainer to watch out for at Kempton (alongside the more obvious name of Saeed Bin Suroor), with Ralph having sent out sixty-four winners via a 23% strike rate at Kempton during the last five years. Ralph boasts a level stake profit of nearly seventy-eight points during the study period for good measure.

 

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