Double Dutch, 10th October 2013
I’ve been out all morning, so I’m a bit behind schedule, so less waffle and more typing! 😀
Not one of our better days yesterday, as we didn’t even get a sniff of the double, after both runners performed poorly in race 1. We could only manage 4th and 5th from a 7 horse race!
Better news from race 2 (from a pride perspective, if nothing else!), as I called the race correctly and got another 1-2 finish. I know some of you play these suggestions as exactas/forecasts and those who do/did saw a £9.40 dividend from a £1 stake here.
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
The Road Ahead: u/p at 9/4 (SP 6/4)
Kathleen Frances: u/p at 11/4 (SP 2/1)
Volume: won at 9/4
Gold Trail: 2nd at 7/2 (SP 5/2)
(The Exacta paid £9.20 here to a £1 stake!)
Trial to date:
34 winning selections from 126 = 26.98%
9 winning doubles in 35 days = 25.71%
P/L : -8.72pts (-12.73% ROI)
We’re still not too far adrift of breaking even and we’ve some good chances today starting with the…
Billybuster‘s second place finish at Gowran last week is the best recent form on offer and he is able to race off the same mark here, despite having a 5lb rise in the offing. If he can match last Friday’s efforts, he should be suited by the sharp nature of this track and may well attempt to make all and go one better at 2/1, especially if the blinkers are as effective this time around.
Do The Bookies has had a 5 months break but was placed off today’s mark off 92 at Cork in March three races ago. He has since switched to Gordon Elliott’s yard and improvement is expected running for a yard whose horses always seem to go well in October (27% strike rate!). Very exposed, but relatively consistent at this level, despite being 0/24 at JJ Hanlon’s yard, he did make the frame on his last three outings over today’s trip and all on similarly soft ground as today’s, including a 3rd over C&D two runs ago. He will eventually win races for Gordon Elliott and today might be that day at odds of up to 7/2.
Snowboarder is a proven A/W runner, finishing 121 in 3 efforts in 2012 before being shipped out to Meydan for four runs this spring, where he made the frame each time. Came back to the UK to land a decent 1m handicap at Newmarket in July before running third at Group 3 level at Goodwood. He had an off day in the sovereign (Gp 3) Stakes at Salisbury LTO, but I’m happy to overlook that as he returns to his favoured surface, where he is two from three and looks set to extend that at odds of around 11/10.
C&D winner Ehtedaam is probably the safer option of the rest, as he improved for wearing a hood when defying top weight in a C&D handicap in August. He failed to repeat that C&D win when stepping up to Class 2 last time out, but despite finishing 6th of 15 runners that day, he was only beaten by three lengths and he stayed on strongly. He drops two grades today and his odds of 6/4 are quite reasonable.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Billybuster / Snowboarder @ 6.30 with Paddy Power & Coral
Billybuster / Ehtedaam @ 7.86 with Boylesports
Do The Bookies / Snowboarder @ 9.00 with Stan James
Do The Bookies / Ehtedaam @ 11.25 with Stan James