Decent cards up at Doncaster this Friday and Saturday, with the Racing Post Trophy taking centre stage – We highlight four yards with excellent track stats on Town Moor, plus a few big stables you might want to avoid.
ROGER VARAIN (Doncaster Track Stats: 12 winners from his last 47 runners, 26%): Not only have the Roger Varian yard got a great ‘wins-to-runs’ ratio at Doncaster, but they are also showing a healthy +£30.91 level stakes profit with their runners on Town Moor – all good enough reasons to look out for anything they run there this week. Their overall record this year sees them on 77 winnrs for 2013, and that’s already 5 more than 2012. Add in that they’ve broken the £1m prize fund this season too then all is looking rosy at the Kremlin House yard. At the time of writing they’ve fired in 11 juvenile winners this term too and looking ahead at their Doncaster entries they’ve plenty of 2 year-olds engaged. Also keep tabs on their older horses as of their 80 4+year-olds to run 46 have finished fourth or better.
DAVID LANIGAN (Doncaster Track Stats: 7 winners from his last 20 runners, 35%): Sir Henry Cecil’s former assistant has really made a name for himself at Doncaster since he started out on his own in 2008. Yes, they have a select amount of runners there, but with a decent 35% strike-rate then the ones they do send clearly mean business. They are also showing a +£31 level stakes profit at the venue. This season they’ve fired in 20 winners so far and need just 2 more to equal their 2012 tally and 6 more to make this their best-ever campaign in terms of winners. Just one 2 year-old winner in 2013 so be wary of that – the bulk of their winners have been with their 3 year-olds (19).
JOHN GOSDEN (Doncaster Track Stats: 29 winners from his last 143 runners, 20%): One of the bigger yards and despite having had plenty of runners at the track in recent years they’ve done extremely well to maintain a 20% strike-rate. They will be mob-handed at the track later this week, but with a 23% strike-rate with their 3 year-olds this season then it could pay to keep this age group on your side. With 54 of their 92 juveniles finishing fourth or better then this is another area to look for, but really when you drill into their actual track stats it’s been with their older horses they’ve excelled – they are 8 from 27 (30%).
SAEED BIN SUROOR (Doncaster Track Stats: 26 winners from his last 127 runners, 20%): Like Gosden this powerful yard have done well to maintain a 20% strike-rate with their runners at Doncaster and they will be another yard that will be well represented this week on Town Moor. Pay special attention to any juveniles as they are just 12 from 34 (35%) in that age bracket and have also already fired in 30 2 year-old winners in 2013. At the time of writing they are on 97 winners for the season and have already banked over £2.6million in total prize money, and will be buzzing after the win of Farhh in the Champions Stakes last Saturday.
To Potentially Avoid…………………..
TOM DASCOMBE (Doncaster Track Stats: Just 1 winner from last 59 runners, 2%)
MICK CHANNON (Doncaster Track Stats: Just 5 winners from last 117 runners, 4%)
KEVIN RYAN (Doncaster Track Stats: Just 10 winners from last 229 runners, 4%)
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