Double Dutch, 21st October 2013
No joy yesterday on a day blighted by withdrawals. Two of our four selections were non-runners, severely reducing our chances and all we could manage was a 2nd and a 3rd on the day.
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
Some Officer: 2nd at 2/1 (after R4!) (SP 6/4)
Cap Elorn: 3rd at 4/1
Trial to date:
50 winning selections from 165 = 30.30%
15 winning doubles in 46 days = 32.61%
P/L : +4.9pts (+5.44% ROI)
Flat racing action from Yorkshire today as we tackle these…
I fancy this will be tight between Percy’s Gal and Ribbleton and I’ve a slight preference for the former.
Percy’s Gal was promising last time out when only beaten by a neck at Redcar over 7f. A drop back to six should help here and she’s related to several winners at this trip. She travelled well until headed late on last time out and looks a decent bet at 15/8 (Boylesports).
Ribbleton can probably class himself unlucky when going down by a short head on debut at Carlisle and then when by beaten by just a length at Thirsk having shied away after being hit over the head by a rival’s whip on the run in. I fear he might just miss out again here today, if Percy’s Gal continue to improve upon the promise shown already, but Ribbleton is still a handy alternate at 15/8 (Stan James)
This should prove to be a tight and interesting contest, but I fancy that Bow Creek will be the one to beat, based on his comprehensive victory at Newbury last time out.
He won by 6 lengths on soft over 7 furlongs last time out and still looked like he’d plenty in the tank, suggesting the step up to a mile shouldn’t be an issue. The manner of that win allied to the fact that he’s the only soft ground winner in this pack makes him my pick at 13/8 with BetVictor.
The obvious danger to me is the 9/4 shot Safety Check, who at least has winning form on Good to Soft ground and drops down in class from Group 3 racing to appear here and appears to be the best of the rest in this one.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Percy’s Gal / Bow Creek @ 7.21 with William Hill
Percy’s Gal / Safety Check @ 8.94 with Boylesports, Paddy Power & Stan James
Ribbleton / Bow Creek @ 7.21 with Stan James
Ribbleton / Safety Check @ 9.36 with Stan James