Daily Stat Pack, 26th October 2013

SATURDAY 26/10:

Aintree:

Class 2 handicap hurdle over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 1.55: Philip Hobbs has saddled the winner of two of the last three renewals and Philip held just the one option (Dunraven Storm) at the five day stage. Six of the eight winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2, whilst two favourites have prevailed thus far.

Monet’s Garden Chase scheduled for 3.05: Only one clear market leader and one joint favourite have obliged via nine renewals to date.

Novice handicap hurdle over an extended three miles scheduled for 4.15: Peter Bowen (potentially represented by Cruising Bye) has saddled three of the last seven winners. Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last seven renewals.

Class 3 two and a half mile novice chase scheduled for 4.50. Five of the last seven market leaders have won during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 6/1. Paul Nicholls has saddled four winners during the period and the trainer was only represented by Black Thunder at the time of writing.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.20: Jonjo O’Neill has won the race three times in the last nine years and the popular trainer was double handed in the contest at the time of writing. Favourites have secured the last seven renewals of this (scheduled) closing event!

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 73

Favourite stats: 25 (34.2%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

5–Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)

4–Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)

3–Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)

3–Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2)

3–Paul Nicholls (10/11*-10/11*-4/5*)

3–David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)

3–Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)

3–Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

61/73 (83.6%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7–Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4)

5–Jonjo O’Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4)

3–Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)

3–Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

 

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 165

Favourite stats: 54 (32.9%–includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

10/80–Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1)

9/33–Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

8/46–Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/32–Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

136/165 winners (82.4%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9–Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**-6/5)

8–William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2-3/1)

6–James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1)

6–John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6–Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4-4/1)

6–David O’Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5–Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2)

5–Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

4–Brian Ellison (4/1-6/4-5/4-3/1)

Racing Post trophy scheduled for 3.05: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for four of the thirteen runners at the penultimate stage, having saddled five winners of this Group 1 event during the last twelve years. Eight of the last eleven renewals have fallen the way of favourites.

Conditions event over seven furlongs scheduled for 5.00: The last eight contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being registered.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 116

Favourite stats: 31 (26.7%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/11 (27.3%)

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

14/112–Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*-6/1-2/1*-7/2-11/8*)

8/31–John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1-4/1)

7/22–Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1-15/8*)

6/27–William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1-20/1)

5/18–Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*-9/2)

4/14–Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/16–Richard Fahey (5/1-7/1-6/1-7/2**)

97/116 winners (83.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

18–Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2-4/1***-7/2**-4/6-5/4)

8–John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1-7/2**-9/2-8/11)

5–William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4–Lady Cecil (15/8-4/1-4/1**-13/8)

4–Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

4–Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

3–Saeed Bin Suroor (Evs-10/11-3/1**)

‘Horris Hill’ juvenile event over seven furlongs scheduled for 2.20: Just one favourite has prevailed during the last twleve years. Richard Hannon has saddled 14/1 and 7/1 winners during the last three years and the trainer was responsible for four of the nineteen five day declarations.

Group 2 St Simon Stakes scheduled for 2.55: Three and four-year-olds have won eight of the last nine renewals between them (juniors lead 5-3). Eleven of the last twelve winners were returned at odds of 17/2 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 3.30: Three-year-olds have won seven of the last nine renewals, vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a six timer. Four of the last nine renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another which in terms of the competitive nature of the race, is a decent record.

 

Stratford:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Stratford: 97

Favourite stats: 40 (41.2%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Stratford in 2013:

10–Jonjo O’Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1-6/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/2**)

6–Warren Greatrex (6/1-1/6*-9/4-Evs*-3/1-4/1)

5–Tim Vaughan (5/2-8/13*-14/1-4/6*-11/8*)

4–Philip Hobbs (9/2**-11/4-4/5*-11/10*)

4–Alan King (14/1-15/8*-5/2-3/1*)

4–Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3-2/1)

3–Peter Bowen (2/1*-5/2*-9/2)

3–David Pipe (5/2-12/1-2/5*)

88/97 winners (90.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5–Peter Bowen (15/8-7/4-9/2**-5/4-9/4)

3–Jonjo O’Neill (9/4**-10/11-5/2)

3–Tim Vaughan (6/4-5/6-11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Connor Beasley has been the subject of plenty of plaudits this season and with three winners from just eleven rides at Wolverhampton at the time of writing, Connor has realised eleven points of level stake profits in the process.