The Shortlist, 7th November 2013

It’s not really going our way at the moment, with Choisan 2nd, albeit beaten a long way; and Entitlement (e/w) fourth. On the also list, Un Bon P’tit Gars was, of course, second. Hmm.

Very little to go at on Thursday, but I have had a little nibble at top weight Kilburn. He’s got a nice combination of course and distance form, is dropping in class, and if he’s not over the hill now, is a juicy old price.

Today’s racecards are here.

2.50 Lin – Kilburn e/w – 20/1 bet365

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My ‘also considered’ list comprises:

1.10 Tow – Realta Mo Croi – 3/1 PP
1.25 Thu – Quito de la Roque – 5/2 Betfred

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The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter. Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this: the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive.

That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they’re using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race). So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will. You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.

As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you’re backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you’ve got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉

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