Midnight Belle won on Friday from the trio of ‘also considered’ horses, and we now look forward to a seriously soggy Saturday. I’m headed to Esher for a seriously soggy Saturday at Sandown, and will be exclusively favouring mudlarks.
Elsewhere, Jack Dexter looks like the bet of the day, dropped to Listed class on his favoured soft ground.
1.15 Don – Black Caesar – 5/1 bet365
1.50 Don – Lilac Lace e/w – 20/1 Betfred
2.25 Don – Jack Dexter – 7/2 BetVictor
3.15 Win – Wonderful Charm – 7/4 Hills
My ‘also considered’ list comprises:
12.45 San – Merehead e/w – 11/4 bet365
1.30 Win – Va Vite e/w – 25/1 bet365
2.15 Kel – Kruzhlinin – 4/1 bet365
3.05 San – Saphir du Rheu e/w – 5/1 BetVictor
The Shortlist is a simple concept: I go through the Race Analysis Reports each day to find horses which I consider to be of interest. I then publish that list of horses here. Some will win, many will lose. It is hoped that the winners will cover the losers and leave a bit of gravy on the punting platter. Now, before I go on, I need to make (labour!) a really important point. And it is this: the Race Analysis Reports are deliberately interpretive.
That is, different people will highlight different horses depending on whether they’re using the win or place statistics, and which columns they sort on (based on which elements they consider most important in a given race). So, these will be the horses on MY shortlist. Feel free to do with them what you will. You may have a different shortlist, and you are most certainly encouraged to go and play with the numbers to find what works best for you.
As regular readers will know, it makes absolute sense to get the best price you can about any selection you’re backing. Put another way, it makes no sense whatsoever to accept a shorter price than the best available unless you’ve got too much money and are keen to give some away! 😉
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