Sat TV Trends – 23rd November 2013

Some excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to both venues – As always Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats…..

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.05 – Amlin 1965 Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m3f CH4

10/10 – Aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/10 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/10 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
7/10 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
6/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/10 – Had won over this trip (fences) before
6/10 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
5/10 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/10 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won by Alan King
2/10 – Won by Nicky Henderson
1/10 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run, RyanAir Chase 2009)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

2.40 – Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) Grade 2 Cl1 2m3f110y CH4

11/11 – Priced 7/2 or less
10/11 – Won by and Irish (7) or French (3) bred horse
9/11 – Favourites placed
9/11 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
9/11 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
8/11 – Had their last race 3 month or longer ago
8/11 – Won their latest race
8/11 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
7/11 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
6/11 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/11 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
4/11 – Run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
3/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
3/11 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (all finished 4^th or better, no winners)
3/11 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
The average winning price in the last 10 runnings is 9/4
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.15 – Carey Group Handicap Chase Cl2 2m1f CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
7/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/7 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Had won over fences over this trip before
5/7 – Carried 11-1 or more
5/7 – Rated 142 or higher
5/7 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
5/7 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/7 – Had raced within the last month
4/7 – Had raced at Ascot before
4/7 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/7 – Placed favourites
3/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Aged 6 years-old
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 5/1

Haydock (C4/RUK)

1.50 – Best Odds With Betfair Sportsbook Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

2 previous runs
2/2 – Returned 11/1 or bigger in the betting
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
Donald McCain won the race in 2011

2.25 – Betfair Cash Out “Fixed Brush” Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
7/8 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more
6/8 – Rated between 132 and 142
5/8 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Placed favourites
5/8 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
5/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – French bred
4/8 – Won last time out
4/8 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/8 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/8 – Trained by David Pipe
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 10/1

3.00 – Betfair Chase (Registered As The Lancashire Chase) Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

8 Previous runnings
8/8 – Irish (3) or French (5) bred horse
7/8 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/8 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
6/8 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Officially rating of 168 or more
5/8 – Had run at Haydock before
5/8 – Won a Grade One chase before
4/8 – Favourites
3/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Ran at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
3/8 – Run at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 8 years is 13/2
The Paul Nicholls stable took the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012
Ruby Walsh rode the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011 & 2012

6 previous runs
6/6 – French (3) or Irish (3) bred
6/6 – Aged 9 or younger
6/6 – Carried 11-1 or more
5/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
4/6 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
4/6 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/6 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
4/6 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/6 – Winning distance – head or shorter
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 15/2

Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays