Double Dutch, 23rd November 2013
Double Dutch
Double Dutch, 23rd November 2013
We got ourselves back on the winning trail yesterday with our third success in four days, thanks to wins from Beat That and Fago, who combined to give us an 8.38/1 double.
The fact that we got the first two home on our second contest meant that forecast backers (I know a few of you play it this way) were rewarded with a near 13/2 payout.
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
Beat That: won at 6/4 (SP 5/4)
Sybarite: u/p at 7/2
———————————
Fago: won at 11/4 (SP 9/4)
Simply Ned: 2nd at 9/4
(The forecast paid £7.43 here)
Results to date:
68 winning selections from 219 = 31.05%
21 winning doubles in 60 days = 35.00%
Stakes: 118.00pts
Returns: 129.00pts
P/L : +11.00pts (+9.32% ROI)
Saturday is usually a difficult day for the doubles, with the racing generally being far more competitive, but I’ll be looking to take out ROI into double figures today with these two carefully selected races from the evening’s all-weather action…
Fillies who won within the last five days tend to go well again when turned back out again on the all-weather and provided that this race doesn’t come too soon for Porteous, then I’d expect her to run out the 5/2 winner here. She hasn’t got things all her own way here, though, as she steps up to Class 5 for this one, but she has run well at a much higher grade than this on turf.
She’s also raised 6lbs for her Kempton win on Thursday, which was her All-Weather debut, but if she shows the same attitude today, then 5/2 might prove to be a very good price.
Of her rivals, the one most likely (in my opinion anyway!) to take advantage of Porteous‘ rise in class and weight should be Kodafine who has been running very well of late and likes it here at Wolverhampton, securing two wins and two runner-up finishes from her six outings here and the 7lb allowance claimed by jockey Eoin Walsh could just be the difference today, making Kodafine a real danger at a decent price of 3/1 BOG.
This race really should revolve around the top two in the market and there’s little to choose between them really.
Tabaayun is currently the favourite at 6/4 with Bet365, courtesy of winning two of his last three outings, including a fairly comfortable success at Lingfield last Saturday. The step up in trip shouldn’t be a problem today, as he has already won over this trip this season. This, however, is a tougher contest than the one he faced a week ago and a rise to a mark of 82 (from 75) both combine to make me have a slight preference for…
…Alakhan who seeks a hat-trick of wins after roaring back into form with successes at both Redcar and here at Wolverhampton in his last two starts. He has the advantage over the favourite of course knowledge and that last race was four weeks ago, so he should be fresher and the win was over course and distance, which is always a bonus around here. All of which make him a real contender at 15/8.
He’s very lightly raced for his age: just 18 starts for this 7yr old to date, which might mean some selectivity from his handlers (I’m guessing though), but he’s 2 from 2 at Classes 5 & 6 (C6 today) and has a creditable 2nd place finish in a Class 2 handicap to his name when hitting the heights of a mark of 85, but turns out off 77 here, the same mark as his C&D victory last time out.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Porteous / Tabaayun @ 8.75 with Bet365
Porteous / Alakhan @ 10.08 with Stan James, BetVictor or Paddy Power
Kodafine / Tabaayun @ 10.00 with Bet365
Kodafine / Alakhan @ 11.52 with Seanie Mac, BetVictor, Paddy Power or BoyleSports
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