Double Dutch, 28th November 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 28th November 2013

Oh dear, another poor set of results for us yesterday, where the best we could muster was a couple of third-placed finishes in two races I really expected us to be profiting from!

Yesterday’s results were as follows:

Banoffee: 3rd of 7!
Fattsota: last of 7!
Amir Pasha: 3rd of 9
Pindar: 4th of 9

Results to date:
70 winning selections from 238 = 29.41%
21 winning doubles in 65 days = 32.31%

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Stakes: 128.00pts
Returns: 129.00pts

P/L : +1.00pts (+0.78% ROI)

So, that’s it: no more free hits. We’re on the verge of slipping into the red, unless, of course, we strike some form with these:

12.15 Uttoxeter:

At the risk of sounding a bit la-la, this has to be between Koolala and Dewala!

Dewala will have decent pace between the hurdles, having won at 1m and 1m3f (twice) on the all-weather at Southwell this year and she showed decent promise when finishing third on her hurdling debut , staying on well at Wetherby 12 days ago. A significant fact here is that trainer Michael Appleby has replaced the amateur jockey from last time out with the champ AP McCoy, who you’d expect to get a little bit more of this mare who’s already likely to come on for that first effort. All in all, she looks a good bet at 5/2 with Stan James

She won’t, however, have it all her own way, as Koolala has made a decent start to her career, winning a bumper on debut and finishing 5th of 17 in a better quality bumper at Cheltenham in April, where she was only 6 lengths off the winner from a race that has already produced 7 winners.

She finished second of 15 last time out, which was her hurdling debut and was only beaten by a decent looking evens favourite out of Nicky Henderson’s yard who had dropped down from Listed class to Class 5. She has a decent chance here today of making further improvement and can be backed readily at 100/30.

3.45 Newbury:

Nicky Henderson’s debutant Maestro Royal is the interesting pick here and whilst it’s a bit of a leap of faith backing an unraced horse, his breeding suggests he’ll go well at a reasonable price of 100/30 with Coral.

He’s representing a yard with a 23& strike rate in bumpers at this track and according to his press write-up “Closely related to bumper/2m1f-3m2f hurdle/high-class chase winner Barbers Shop, half-brother to bumper/2m hurdle winner Heather Royal and 2m3f-3m hurdle/chase winner Busker Royal; dam second in bumper/2m hurdle, sister to bumper/hurdle winners; top yard won this three times since 2006, two of those wins with newcomers.”

I’d expect the main challenge to come from 2/1 favourite Thomas Brown, ridden by Noel Fehily and trained by Harry Fry: the pair of whom combined to win this race last year with Oscar Rock. This horse was a dual point-to-point winner in the summer, beating a couple of subsequent Rules winners and runs for a yard in cracking form this year (25 wins from 76 for 44.7pts profit and 16/43 for 31pts with Noel Fehily in the saddle.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Dewala / Thomas Brown @ 9.75 with both Seanie Mac and Boylesports (Sporting Bet offer 10.50 non-BOG)
Dewala / Maestro Royal @ 14.00 with Stan James
Koolala / Thomas Brown @ 13.00 with BetFred
Koolala / Maestro Royal @ 18.00 with Stan James

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