Double Dutch, 12th December 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 12th December 2013

It was a winner of sorts yesterday, as our second race was taken by the fog that descended across much of the South East. We’d already bagged a nice 4/1 winner and a 10.4/1 exacta in race 1 and although we were unable to complete the double, our 2pt stakes was returned at 5pts for a tidy 150% profit on the day.

Not quite a winning double, but a profitable day nonetheless, giving us our 4th winning day in the last five and taking us to a record high of almost 21pts profits

Yesterday’s results were as follows:

Algernon Pazham: won at 4/1
Silsol: 2nd at 11/8 (SP 11/10)
The Exacta paid £11.40 here
Our Gabrial: meeting abandoned (FOG)
Irish Tears: meeting abandoned (FOG)

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Results to date:
82 winning selections from 290 = 28.28%
26 winning doubles in 79 days = 32.91%

Stakes: 156.00pts
Returns: 176.97pts

P/L : +20.97pts (+13.44% ROI)

A 4-runner chase and a 6 furlong dash on the sand await us today:

1.40 Taunton:

Funny Star has improved gradually in his 3 starts this season with finishes of 321 and he ran really well to hold off the challenge of the very useful former Grade 2 winner Ericht last time out. Despite this being a step back up to Class 3, this contest doesn’t quite look as difficult on paper and a repeat of that run could well be enough. The way he ground out that victory probably explains why the best price available is only 5/2 with Coral.

He won’t go off as favourite, though. That “honour” will go to the more likely winner and former stablemate Workbench, who looks revitalised since a switch to Dan Skelton’s yard. He was a course and distance winner here last time out, when he romped home making all a fortnight ago. He won by 8 lengths that day, but was well clear from before 2 out and could well have won by much further.

Workbench is up 10lbs for that win, but still receives a stone from Funny Star and I fancy him to take this at 6/4 (generally available).

5.20 Kempton:

I fancy Nova Princesse to complete a hat-trick here at 7/2 with Stan James. She followed up her 6f maiden win at Wolverhampton with a course and distance victory here four weeks ago. Martin Harley rode her for the first time that day and takes the ride again here and he’s in great form at present with 5 winners from 11 this week. She has a decent turn of foot when required and should have the power to close this one out, despite a 6lb rise.

The challenge is likely to come from the likes of Expect and Porteous and at the risk of tempting fate, I’m going to omit Expect after a disappointing run last time out. I know it was a listed contest on soft ground, so plenty of excuses, but she’s untried here at Kempton and there’s enough reasons to avoid her this time.

Porteous is a former course and distance winner and she’s 112 on All-Weather, with her only defeat coming by a short head in a Class 2 contest at Wolverhampton five days ago. She drops two classes here and get to run off the same mark as that defeat and has the bonus of a 7lb jockey’s claim, making her a real threat at 11/4 (Hills)

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Workbench / Porteous @ 7.91/1 (Hills : 11/8 & 11/4)
Workbench / Nova Princesse @ 10.25/1 (Stan James :  (6/4 & 7/2)
Funny Star / Porteous @ 11.25/1 (Bet365, BetVictor & Coral : 5/2 & 5/2)
Funny Star / Nova Princesse @ 14.17/1 (Bet365, BetVictor, Ladbrokes & Coral : 5/2 & 100/30)

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