Double Dutch, 15th December 2013
I kind of almost got it right yesterday at the same time as getting it very wrong, if that’s at all possible! I had a feeling that longer priced horses could well take both races that seemed to lack quality and depth, I just didn’t get the right horses!
Race 1 was taken by an 8/1 shot, but not our 8/1 shot and we could only manage 4th and 6th of the 9 runners, as they both faded from contention at the 2 pole.
We fared better half an hour later, with a good E/W performance from 8/1 Jay Bee Blue, but he couldn’t get within three lengths of the winner, whilst he had our other runner just behind him.
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
Seek The Fair Land: 4th of 9
George Fenton: 6th of 9
Jay Bee Blue: 2nd at 8/1 (SP 15/2)
Al’s Memory: 3rd at 11/4 (SP 2/1)
Results to date:
84 winning selections from 302 = 27.81%
26 winning doubles in 82 days = 31.71%
P/L : +14.97pts (+9.24% ROI)
A couple of UK National Hunt races await us this afternoon:
Oscar The Myth is of interest here, despite making his first appearance of a racetrack for over 18 months. He was last seen winning a 3m hunter chase at Huntingdon back in May 2012, but he has been kept active and successful in his absence from the track. In his last 5 point to point races, he has finished second on three occasions and has scored one win. If he’s sharp enough upon his return, he could land the spoils for his new trainer at odds of 5/2.
There’ll be no stamina/fitness worries surrounding Timpo though. From his seven attempts at race longer than three miles, he has only failed to complete once: winning one and finishing second four times in the other six efforts. He hasn’t won for a while, but comes here today to run off a mark 2lbs lower than his last winning effort and looks the most likely alternative to the main selection, also at odds of up to 5/2.
Since switching back to hurdling after losing his way somewhat over fences, the classy Lie Forrit looks almost back to his best. He has an impressive five wins and 2 places from 10 efforts over the smaller obstacles and comes here on the back of a 2 length defeat in a decent Grade 3 handicap at Haydock last month. Whilst this isn’t a bad race as such, it’s certainly weaker than that Haydock challenge and the 11/4 currently on offer looks very appealing.
The one most likely to block his progress is Kaki De La Pree from the promising Tom Symonds yard. This lightly-raced 5 yr old is making only his fourth start in the UK and his handicap debut after good progression so far. He won his only Irish Points contest and will get every inch of this 25 furlong trip today.
He looks fairly leniently treated for his handicap debut and the 16lbs he receives from Lie Forrit might just ultimately prove to be the difference between the two, enabling him to take this at 5/2.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Oscar The Myth / Kaki De La Pree @ 11.25/1 (SkyBet, BetVictor, Hills : 5/2 & 5/2)
Oscar The Myth / Lie Forrit @ 12.13/1 (SkyBet, Hills : 5/2 & 11/4)
Timpo / Kaki De La Pree @ 11.25/1 (PP : 5/2 & 5/2)
Timpo / Lie Forrit @ 11.25/1 (PP : 5/2 & 5/2)