Sat TV Trends: 21st Dec 2013

The C4 cameras head to Ascot and Haydock for the last weekend before Christmas – Andy Newton’s got all the key TV race trends…..

Ascot (ATR/C4)

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 11-1 or more
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Had won at least twice over fences before
4/5 – Won a chase race over 2m1f before
4/5 – Aged 7 or older
4/5 – Rated between 130-137
3/5 – French bred
3/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/5 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 13/2

2.25 – Wessex Youth Trust Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f CH4

11/11 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (4 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
10/10 – Placed in the top three in their last race
10/11 – Favourites placed
10/11 – French-bred horse
9/11 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
9/11 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
8/11 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
7/11 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
7/11 – Favourites that won
7/11 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/11 – Won their last race
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/11 – Ridden by jockey AP McCoy
2/11 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/2

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings – Newbury
2005 running – Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor

3.00 – Mappin & Webb Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
6/8 – Won by a French bred horse
6/8 – Carried 10-12 or less
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/8 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
4/8 – Aged 7 years-old
4/8 – Placed favourites
5/8 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
5/8 – Had run at Ascot before
4/8 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/8 – Trained by Henry Daly
1/8 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 13/1

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – The Ladbroke (A Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

9/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/9 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/9 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
7/9 – Had raced within the last 2 months
7/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/9 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
6/9 – Carried 10-11 or more
5/9– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/9 – Trained by the Pipe stable
1/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/1

Haydock (RUK/C4)

2.05 – One Stop Energy Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

6/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/6 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
6/6 – Failed to win last time out
6/6 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Placed favourites
5/6 – Had won between 2-3 times over fences before
5/6 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
5/6 – Had won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
4/6 – Had raced at Haydock before (hurdles or fences)
3/6 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien
2/6 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/6 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
2/6 – French bred
2/6 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – nationwidevehiclecontracts.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

9/9 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
7/9 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
6/9 – Irish (3) or French (3) bred
6/9 – Raced at Haydock before
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
6/9 – Carried 10-13 or less
5/9 – Finished third last time out
3/9 – Raced at Haydock last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/2