Sat TV Trends – 28th Dec 2013

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand with all the key stats for the LIVE C4 races at Chepstow and Newbury this Saturday – including the Coral Welsh National……

Newbury (C4/ATR)

1.15 – Betfred Mandarin Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f110y CH4

Only 2 previous running
2/2 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon 2/2 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
2/2 – Carried 11-2 or more
2/2 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Mark Bradstock has a 33% record with his chasers at the track – SUPER VILLAN
Paul Nicholls has a 26% record with his chasers at the course

1.45 – Betfred Goals Galore Challow Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m5f CH4

11/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Placed in the top three last time out
11/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Went onto finish in the top 3 in a novice hurdle race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
6/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
4/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/11 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Wichita Lineman 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was run in Jan 2006 at Cheltenham

1.30 – Coral Spin Casino For iPad Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m CH4

11/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times before over hurdles
8/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Rated 120 or less
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-9
7/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Had won over 3m before
5/11 – Raced at Chepstow before
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/1

Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

2.00 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y CH4

9/9 – Had won between 0-2 times before
9/9 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
5/9 – French bred
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Had run at the track before
3/9 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/1

2.35 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y CH4

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger 1
1/11 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
11/11 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
11/11 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
10/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/11 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
8/11 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
7/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
5/11 – French bred
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Had run in the Welsh National before
3/11 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 10/1

3.10 – coral.co.uk Money Back If Your Horse Falls Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f110y CH4

9/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won between 2-3 times (fences) before
9/10 – Either French (5) or Irish (4)
8/10 – Had won over 2 ½ miles (fences) before
8/10 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
6/10 – Came in the first three last time out
5/10 – Had run at Chepstow last time out
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10  – Ridden by Noel Fehily
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1