Double Dutch, 5th January 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 5th January 2014

Saturday went the way of Friday, in that race 1’s winner was let down by events in our second set of selections. Retrieve The Stick held off a stiff challenge to triumph by just a neck in the 12.00 race, but events went against us 35 minutes later.

Dancing Art’s two-lengths defeat to the outsider of four was the best we could muster in the second contest, meaning a loss of two points on the day. Not the best way to celebrate 100 days of Double Dutching.

Yesterday’s results were as follows:

Retrieve The Stick: won at 13/8 adv (SP 11/8)
The Flaming Matron: 3rd at 5/2 SP (adv 2/1)
Dancing Art: 2nd at 15/8 adv (SP 15/8)
Rupert Bear: last of 4!

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Results to date:
110 winning selections from 372 = 29.56%
34 winning doubles in 100 days = 34.00%

Stakes: 198.00pts
Returns: 207.95pts

P/L : +9.95pts (+5.03% ROI)

More bad weather around today, so the safest option is a couple of trips around the all-weather:

2.10 Southwell:

Greyfriarschorista is a six-times winner at this trip and he’s a triple course and distance winner from just five attempts. Shelley Birkett rode him for the first time nine days when he gained that 3rd C&D win with a career best performance and she’s back in the saddle again today after riding two winners from her last three races elsewhere The horse holds several of these rivals on recent runs and a 3lb rise shouldn’t be enough to prevent another bold run at 9/4 BOG.

The big danger is the 5/4 BOG favourite (PP & Coral) Frontier Fighter. The last time he ran here (26 days ago) he managed to get within a neck of course specialist Dubai Hills who was winning his 7th consecutive race here! Frontier Fighter drops in class for this one and although he’s up 5lbs for recent efforts, the 3lb claim of promising jockey Sam James might make all the difference today.

2.40 Southwell:

Captain Secret was very impressive when making all to land a course and distance victory here 16 days, but has been hit with a 9lb hike in the weights for that 3.5 lengths success. That was her first start on Fibresand and when you consider the natural improvement most of Marco Botti’s horses make, it’s easy to see why she’s a fairly short favourite here at a best price of 9/4 BOG with PP. She’s now 2/5 on A/W and 3/7 overall and likes to dictate races from the front.

She’s likely to encounter some resistance to her bid to lead from the start today, as Searchlight is another who likes to assume control at the head of the pack. Whilst Searchlight has claims of his own due to his consistency, he’s still a maiden after seven races, as he always finds at least one catching him late on. I think that these two will battle it out and possibly burn each other out, leaving the door open for a finisher like…

Exceeding Power, who comes here seeking a hat trick after a win at Wolverhampton was followed up by a course and distance success here on New Year’s Day. He had to dig deep to win that day, prevailing by just a neck, but it should be noted that the third placed horse was 5 lengths behind him. He’s a gutsy sort and in the current form he’s in, a 3lb penalty might not be enough to stop him grinding the front-runners down again, making his 3/1 BOG at Bet365 look decent value.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Frontier Fighter / Captain Secret @ 6.32/1 (PP 5/4 & 9/4)
Frontier Fighter / Exceeding Power @ 7.80/1 (Bet365 6/5 & 3/1)
Greyfriarschorista / Captain Secret @ 9.56/1 (PP 9/4 & 9/4)
Greyfriarschorista / Exceeding Power @ 11.19/1 (Hills, Coral 9/4 & 11/4 )

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