Double Dutch, 9th January 2014
As Jon Bon Jovi famously sang…“we’re halfway there!”, we did at least get ourselves back amongst the winners, as our 11/2 shot Fearless Lad just got up on the line to win by a neck, giving us a healthy stake for our second set of runners.
My first pick drifted in the market and was badly outpaced late on, whilst Perfect Pursuit stayed on, but couldn’t quite collar the winner, who incidentally was the one I passed over to back Perfect Pursuit! Sod’s Law, I suppose.
Yesterday’s results were as follows:
Fearless Lad: won at 4/1 SP (adv 11/2)
Up Tipp: 4th of 6 at 5/4 SP (adv 7/4)
Perfect Pursuit : 2nd at 6/4 SP (adv 5/2)
Rosie Prospects : 4th of 5 at 5/2 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
113 winning selections from 388 = 29.12%
35 winning doubles in 104 days = 33.65%
P/L : +7.64pts (+3.71% ROI)
Sticking with the A/W today for a couple of better-looking contests than of late:
Although you could make a case for all five runners here, the fact that Lesha has already tasted victory at this track makes him my preferred option. He stayed on well to win by over two lengths here almost four weeks ago and his breeding suggests the extra 3 furlongs today will suit him.
The booking of Jamie Spencer could be both interesting and significant here: Jamie doesn’t come here too often, but is successful when he does with 8 winners from 19 in the last three years. Lesha is my pick at a generally available 11/4 BOG.
Of the remainder, I like the look of Groovejet most. She comes here seeking a hat trick after narrow wins at 1m and 9.5f. She won both races by just three parts of a length, just getting home and staying on strongest and looks to be screaming to go further. 1m3f might just be right up her street if she can be kept close to the head of affairs until late and could snatch this at an attractive 9/2 BOG.
Flash Crash has to concede lumps of weight all round, but thankfully Louis Steward’s 7lb claim cancels out the 6lb penalty incurred for his runaway victory at Southwell a week ago over a similar trip to today. He hit the front with almost half a mile to go and eased to an 11 lengths victory, winning comfortably enough to suggest a follow-up at 7/4 BOG.
Pass The Time hasn’t finished outside the first three in the last six months (2 wins and 5 places from 7 races), all at 2 miles and beyond and on both turf (flat and hurdles) as well as A/W.
She’s very versatile and comes here looking for a hat trick on the back of a 2m1f hurdles win at Taunton and a win on Southwell’s A/W track on Tuesday over two miles. Stamina shouldn’t be her downfall today and 9/4 BOG (Betinternet) looks quite fair, providing this race hasn’t come too soon for her.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Lesha / Flash Crash @ 9.31/1 (Stan James 11/4 & 7/4)
Lesha / Pass The Time @ 10.25/1 (Stan James, Betfred 11/4 & 2/1)
Groovejet / Flash Crash @ 14.13/1 (BetVictor 9/2 & 7/4)
Groovejet / Pass The Time @ 16.19/1 (BetVictor 9/2 & 85/40)