Double Dutch, 2nd February 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 2nd February 2014

Winners at 9/4 and 5/2 aren’t generally going to make you rich, but they did combine to give us a nice 10.38/1 double yesterday, as both Saphir du Rheu and No Planning  justified being my first picks and gave us our third successful double in a row.

I also mooted the possibility of the forecast in the first race and with only a head separating our two selections, the 4.86/1 return was a good investment.

Those two were 19 lengths clear of their nearest challenger, Grand Vision, a horse I also mentioned in my write-up. The trifecta paid 9.20/1, but I’d be gilding the lily if I said I’d backed that too!

Yesterday’s results were as follows:

Saphir du Rheu: won at 2/1 (adv 9/4)
Whisper: 2nd at 6/4  (adv 9/4)
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No Planning: won at 6/4 (adv 5/2)
Ice n Easy: 4th at 85/40 (adv 2/1)

Results to date:
135 winning selections from 479 = 28.18%
44 winning doubles in 128 days = 34.38%

Stakes: 254.00pts
Returns: 263.14pts

P/L : +9.14pts (+3.60% ROI)

Looking for four in a row today with the following:

2.00 Musselburgh:

Venetia Williams’s horses are really flying at present with a 7 from 15 record in the last week alone and four winners from seven yesterday! She saddles up the 6/4 favourite Upepito here who is using this race as a stepping stone to the Champion/Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham. This 6 yr old has some good form in France winning two bumpers and an 2m2f chase on very soft ground.

He faded late into his UK debut at Market Rasen (2m2f, heavy) after travelling well for most of the race, but he was entitled to have needed the run after a break of some 496 days. He’ll come on for that last run 17 days ago and dropped in trip looks a real contender here.

Donald McCain won this race a couple of years ago and has a 29% strike rate at this track and has Kie entered for this one. He’s a consistent sort with 4 wins and 5 places from 15 races. He’s 3/9 over this trip and has a record of 121 over course and distance. All of which makes him a solid backup bet at 5/1 (Ladbrokes & Hills)

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3.50 Kempton:

During a 7 races in 9 months period, Star in the Sky dropped 24lbs in the ratings and put that drop to good effect when romping home at Southwell three days ago. She is turned back out under a 6lb penalty, but her 5lb claiming jockey can see to most of that for her and anything like a similar run will be more than enough here today and she can currently be backed at 5/2 BOG in most places.

Hamis Al Bin has been running well of late, despite having very little luck with the draw, often running from nearer the car park than the inside rail. Placed in each of his last three races despite not getting the best of the early pace. And although he’s out wide once again today, he’ll get the benefit of being alongside the favourite today, who likes to get out to the front very quickly. If he gets towed along, he could prove to be a big danger at 100/30 (BetVictor & SkyBet)

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Upepito / Star in the Sky @ 7.75/1 (6/4 & 5/2 : SkyBet, Coral & PP)
Upepito / Hamis Al Bin @ 9.83/1 (6/4 & 10/3 : SkyBet & BetVictor)
Kie / Star in the Sky @ 20/1 (5/1 & 5/2 : Ladbrokes)
Kie / Hamis Al Bin @ 23/1 (5/1 & 3/1 : Ladbrokes)