Double Dutch, 16th February 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 16th February 2014

A pair of runner-up placings was the best I could muster yesterday, as firstly Aurore D’Estruval was caught out by Abracadabra Sivola’s front running policy, whilst Many Clouds was unable to quicken in the closing stages to catch O’faolains Boy.

Yesterday’s results were as follows:

Aurore D’Estruval: 2nd at 6/4 (adv 15/8)
Handiwork: 4th at 7/2 (adv 4/1)
Many Clouds: 2nd at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Gevrey Chambertin: PU at 13/8 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
151 winning selections from 534 = 28.28%
51 winning bets in 142 days = 35.92%

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Stakes: 280.00pts
Returns: 309.00pts

P/L : +29.00pts (+10.36% ROI)

And if Saturday was a tough day, due to the volume of racing, it’s the lack of decent fayre causing today’s headache, but we’ll go with these:

1.40 Navan:

Inis Meain has run in better company than this contest in the past and has coped pretty well at the higher level, despite not hitting the heights of a flat career which saw him achieve a record of 21032 in Listed events last year. He was, however, only beaten by three lengths into third place last time out in the Pertemps qualifier at Punchestown (3m, heavy) a fortnight ago and a similar run over a shorter trip should be enough to see him home at 7/4 BOG (PP), especially when you factor his 2 wins and 4 places from 9 efforts on heavy ground.

Annie Oakley also likes it when the mud is flying with two wins and two places from six on this type of going and comes here on the back of a gutsy staying on win over 3 miles at Punchestown five weeks ago. She beat Thunder and Roses by just a head that day, with the latter going on to finish second and two lengths ahead of Inis Meain next time out in that Pertemps qualifier above. If that form holds true, she could be a real danger in receipt of 9lbs from the top weight and looks decent value for her 5/1 BOG ticket with SkyBet.


5.00 Market Rasen:

Charlie Longsdon has a record of 5 winners from 11 runners in bumpers here at Market Rasen in the last three years and looks to have found an ideal opportunity for Orby’s Man to get off the mark at the first time of asking under Rules. This horse comes here on the back of a win in an Irish Point race at Ballinaboola at the end of November and has since changed hands for 30,000 guineas, suggesting his new owners think something of him. He’s currently 4/1 BOG with BetVictor and that looks quite appealing here.

The big danger, if not the actual winner, could well be the more experienced Monbeg Theatre. He was second on his Irish points debut last May, before coming over to the UK where has since competing in (and been placed in) two similar bumpers to today. He was third at Ludlow, with the two ahead of him both going on to win subsequently and then he went one better at Warwick last time out.

He was second that day (New Year’s Eve) on soft ground and the form of that race looks to be working out OK with him finishing over 14 lengths ahead of Templebraden who went on to win next time out at Southwell. Trip and ground conditions won’t beat him today and he has the benefit of those two prior starts under Rules, making him of interest here at a generally available 5/2 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Inis Meain / Monbeg Theatre @ 8.63/1 (7/4 & 5/2 : PP)
Inis Meain / Orby’s Man @ 11.38/1 (7/4 & 7/2 : PP)
Annie Oakley / Monbeg Theatre @ 20/1 (5/1 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Annie Oakley / Orby’s Man @ 25/1 (5/1 & 10/3 : SkyBet)

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