Double Dutch, 10th March 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 10th March 2014

Winners at 13/8 and 2/1 combining to produce a 6.88/1 double are not going to make us rich, but you take what you can, I suppose.

Consigliere set the ball rolling with a facile 11 lengths victory, as he proved me right in thinking he’d far too much in his locker to lose at Class 3 level, even if he’s not the horse he used to be.

This set us up nicely for race 2, where our runners were only separated by a neck, as bottom weight took advantage of receiving 17lbs from top weight in a narrow finish, where we had the bonus of a small exacta.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Consigliere: won at 11/8 (adv 13/8)
Kilcrea Asla: 4th of 5 at 11/2 (adv 5/2)
Forward Flight: won at 13/8 (adv 2/1)
Man With Van: 2nd at 6/5 (adv 5/2)
(The Exacta paid £4.70)

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Results to date:
174 winning selections from 614 = 28.34%
58 winning bets in 162 days = 35.80%

Stakes: 320.00pts
Returns: 363.76pts

P/L : +43.76pts (+13.68% ROI)

One chase and one hurdle race to consider today:

3.50 Taunton:

Four winners from 17 in the last week and 2 from 4 yesterday are a sure sign that Venetia Williams’ horses are coming back into some kind of form. As you’d expect, she’s a few runners out today, but I’m interested/intrigues by Gotoyourplay, making his debut for the yard at the ripe old age of 10! He showed some real promise/aptitude for chasing when last seen winning two of his last 3 races, but that was over 2yrs ago (2 yrs and 4 days to be precise!)

He’s still unexposed at 10yrs old, with just five starts to his name (441F1) and now running for a yard adept at getting horses to run well after a lengthy layoff, he looks well treated at the weights, receiving up to 23 lbs from some of his rivals. If he can turn back time, there’s every chance he’ll take this today at 7/2 BOG with BetVictor He is also 1 from 1 on soft ground.

Giles Cross is another interesting one here and not one you’d automatically go for after a break of 55 weeks and his last 3 races read PPP! It should however be noted, that before his break, his last 10 races were as follows: 7 at Grade 3, 1 Listed contest, ! at Class 2 and just the one race at today’s Class 3 level, when he won at Fontwell over 3m4f on soft ground. Prior to that last run of PPP, the previous seven races as above showed him winning twice and being placed four times.

If he’s race sharp today, his profile says he’s too good for his rivals and I can only assume that his layoff is the reason why he’s as long as 5/1 BOG today. He gets the trip and beyond, loves the mud. He’s 2121 in his last four runs at this level and gets on well with today’s jockey. He has attracted some market support this morning, but 5/1 BOG might still be big.


4.00 Plumpton:

Solstice Son represents the Anthony Honeyball yard who seem to be over the recent bout of illness in the camp. Lily Waugh was a good winner for them yesterday and the hope is that Solstice Son can show some of his previous promise today. he had three good runs in bumpers before losing his way over hurdles last year. Off an opening handicap mark of just 94, he looks very treated on marked step up in trip. You can be sure that he’ll have been extensively schooled by a trainer who never runs horses or the sake of it and he may well have spotted the ideal opportunity to get back to winning ways at around the 9/4 BOG mark.

The 6yr old grey mare Brantingham Breeze is the most consistent of those on show here today and with the presence of Richard O’Dea in the saddle for the third successive time, she gets to run off bottom weight, as Richard takes 10lbs off her mark of 100, putting her effectively with just 10-6 on her back today. She’s a seven-race maiden, but a form line of 7223823 suggests she’ll be there or thereabouts again today in what looks a fairly average contest at best.

She was a little disappointing last time out, but her previous outing saw her run to within 3.5 lengths of Paul Nicholls’ well-regarded mare Tagrita. Tagrita was a 1/3 winner that day and subsequently won a Listed contest next time out by a greater margin. Brantingham Breeze acts well on soft/heavy ground and is rated a 9/4 BOG chance at breaking her duck.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Gotoyourplay / Brantingham Breeze @ 13.63/1 (7/2 & 9/4 : Coral)
Gotoyourplay / Solstice Son @ 13.63/1 (7/2 & 9/4 : BetVictor)
Giles Cross / Brantingham Breeze @  18.50/1 (5/1 & 9/4 : Coral)
Giles Cross / Solstice Son @ 18.50/1 (5/1 & 9/4 : BetVictor, Boylesports & Hills)

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