Double Dutch, 9th April 2014
It was another 2-1 yesterday, which was most unfortunate as the ‘2’ was 15/2 shot, Omid, who never quite got there, staying on as though a longer trip suits. Hammody prevailed at 5/4 in leg two having been a good bit longer early.
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Omid: 2nd at 15/2 (adv 5/1)
Rosslyn Castle: 3rd at 7/4 (adv 2/1)
Hamoody: won at 5/4 (adv 9/4)
Royal Warrior: last (!) at 5/2 (adv 5/2)
Results to date:
207 winning selections from 711 = 29.11%
69 winning bets in 186 days = 37.1%
P/L : +71.94pts (+19.44% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We’ll take the day off today and instead work an evening shift at Kempton, beginning with the…
A trappy little Classified Stakes, but two proven performers under today’s conditions get the nod. Luca Cumani has started the season well and his Don’t looks a filly to follow in the early part of the year. A winner of her only start, over course and distance, last October, she was expected to need the run that day and surprised at 25/1. She’s about a tenth of those odds here, but that’s because we have the benefit of that hindsight!
A number of dangers in opposition, notably Willie Haggas’ Brown Eyed Honey, but I’m bolstering leg one with Peter Chapple-Hyam’s recent track/trip scorer, Platinum Pearl. That was her second career start, and the form has worked out well with the second winning, and the third winning twice. She’s totally unexposed and will likely have come on for that first run of the season. In that context, 15/2 looks on the beefy side.
If we survive that precarious opening leg, we’ve a strong enough chance of doubling up in the very next race, with another pair of course winners, in Enquiring and Jarlath. The former is favoured, having won his last two in this grade and the quarter mile step up in trip is expected to suit.
Jarlath also won last time out, here over a furlong shorter, and is just three pounds higher here. Although there are the usual ‘three runs in maidens, stepping up in trip first time in a handicap’ plots here, there’s nothing really bred or trained for that sort of job. That said, the doubling in trip from six to twelve furlongs for Musalaha is rather an exaggerated distance move!
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Don’t / Enquiring @ 6.73/1 (9/4 & 11/8 : totesport)
Don’t / Jarlath @ 15.25/1 (9/4 & 4/1 : totesport)
Platinum Pearl / Enquiring @ 18.13/1 (15/2 & 5/4 : Hills)
Platinum Pearl / Jarlath @ 41.5/1 (15/2 & 4/1 : Hills)