Stat of the Day, 15th April 2014

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 15th April 2014

Lockedoutaheaven was withdrawn on Monday morning leaving us with a no-bet day, so we’re hoping to get the week underway somewhat belatedly with a trip to Devon for the…

3.35 Exeter:

And a look at trainer Henry Oliver, who has had an excellent start to his career as a trainer. In fact if you’d put a tenner on each of his 49 handicap hurdlers to have run so far, you’d now be sitting on a tidy profit of £451.60, a 92.2% return on your total investment.

That’s because 13 (26.53% SR) of the 49 have been returned as winners at a variety of odds, but to show that the stats aren’t entirely skewed by some long-odds winners, we can impose an upper odds limit of 8/1 and still show a decent return.

The record of his handicap hurdlers priced at 8/1 or shorter is currently 12 wins from 32, a strike rate of some 37.5% generating level stakes profits of 29.6pts in the process and a very similar ROI of 92.5%.

Just one runner for Henry on Tuesday, the hat-trick seeking Take The Crown who comes here with the benefit of a three-week break after his back to back wins within four days last month.

He’s up 10lbs for those exertions of late, but he’s still bottom weight for this one and he’s clearly in great nick and looks to have a good chance of landing what looks a fairly mediocre contest here today.

It’s a 1pt win bet for me here, taking the 3/1 BOG on offer from betVictor about Take The Crown, but as ever, other bookies are available. So for their prices…

…click here for the latest betting on the 3.35 Exeter

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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard.