Double Dutch, 14th May 2014
We finally broke the long-running cycle of coupling a winner with a runner-up yesterday, but not in the manner we intended!
On paper, the fact that we go 2nd place in both races looks like we were there or thereabouts and I also got my runners in the right order. The bare truth (I don’t wrap things up!) is that we never looked like winning, as our runners-up were both well beaten: by 5 lengths and then by 22 lengths, so no hard luck stories to tell.
I did seriously consider Dry Your Eyes as the complement to Sirpertan in race 1, but even that would have only given us what we keep getting!
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Sirpertan: 2nd at 2/1 (adv 9/4)
Aldreth: u/p at 7/2 (adv 11/4)
Clouds of Mist: 2nd at 3/1 (adv 5/1)
On The Move: u/p at 7/2 (adv 5/2)
Results to date:
233 winning selections from 819 = 28.45%
75 winning bets in 215 days = 34.88%
P/L : +51.94pts (+12.19% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Green Bank runs here off the same mark as when he was touched off by a head at Towcester 24 days ago and the switch of jockey to Aidan Coleman is a positive one. That last run was an improvement upon his seasonal reappearance a fortnight earlier when he finished third at Chepstow returning from a 167 day absence. That will have been a pipe opener, last time out was a sharpener and I expect him to win today at 7/2 BOG (Stan James).
All six of Dark Glacier‘s career victories have come on left-handed tracks (from 17 starts) and he comes here in good/consistent form, finishing 21P4231 in his last seven outings over the past six months and all under today’s jockey Jamie Moore. He won on his only previous visit to Uttoxeter and has stayed this trips in the past, finishing third on his last effort. He’s up 6lb for his recent exploits, but his consistency makes him a decent prospect here at 5/1 BOG (BetInternet).
Irish raider Gordon Elliott doesn’t like going back across the Irish Sea empty-handed and whilst Hold ‘Em Cowboy might be knocking on a bit at 10 yrs old, he has run into some nice form of late, winning twice and placing twice in his last seven outings. Not bad for a horse with a prior record of 2/38! So, whilst he’s still only four from 45, which isn’t great, he’s actually got 3 wins from 6 on soft ground, whereas his eight rivals today can only muster 2 soft ground wins between them from 48 attempts!
Hold ‘Em Cowboy has run once at Perth in the past and took a little prize money home after finishing 2nd over a shorter trip last September, he’ll relish the ground conditions and the trip today and he can currently be backed at 4/1 BOG.
If the going does play as big a part as I think it might, then Quel Elite is probably the best of the rest on soft ground. He doesn’t win enough races in my opinion, but a recent form line of 4242434 shows he’s a consistent type and he has won once and been placed three more times from six efforts on soft ground to date. The ground was soft when he made his only previous appearance at this track, when finishing third three years ago. He’s often the bridesmaid, but this is a weak race and at 4/1 BOG might well represent his best chance of getting back to winning ways.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Green Bank / Hold ‘Em Cowboy @ 20.67/1 (100/30 & 4/1 : Boylesports & Hills)
Green Bank / Quel Elite @ 20.67/1 (100/30 & 4/1 : Coral)
Dark Glacier / Hold ‘Em Cowboy @ 26.50/1 (9/2 & 4/1 : BetVictor, BetFred & Hills)
Dark Glacier / Quel Elite @ 26.50/1 (9/2 & 4/1 : BetVictor)