Double Dutch, 26th May 2014
A couple of fairly close results both went our way for a change on Saturday for a first winning double in quite a while.
Firstly French Navy landed the Listed contest at Goodwood at 9/4 BOG, taking the lead inside the final furlong to press on and win by half a length with our other runner, Nabucco, 2 lengths off the pace back in third.
This meant a wait of over five hours to see if we could round the week off with a win and Lac Sacre didn’t disappoint us. He led from two out and despite conceding a huge 29lbs to the runner-up, he stayed on well to repel a charge, just about getting home by a head.
Zarzal ran well enough until a mistake 3 from home put paid to any chance he had of winning and he eventually trooped home in fourth place, eight lengths behind our winner.
Winners at 9/4 and 11/4 making a double at 11.2/1 isn’t exactly a Scoop 6 type payout, but still a welcome break from the run of near misses of late.
Saturday’s results were as follows:
French Navy: won at 2/1 (adv 9/4)
Nabucco: 3rd at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Lac Sacre: won at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Zarzal: u/p at 6/4 (adv 15/8)
Results to date:
240 winning selections from 858 = 27.97%
77 winning bets in 224 days = 34.38%
P/L : +39.91pts (+8.95% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I’m going to play Bank Holiday Monday like this…
With a run of form over the last 12 months reading 212111, it’s easy to see why Trixie Malone is the current 5/2 BOG favourite to win again. She tends to just do enough to get home, winning by just half a length, a neck and a head in her three runs this year. This, of course, makes her difficult to handicap and a 3lb rise for her Windsor victory three weeks probably isn’t enough to stop her.
Her record on soft ground reads 1211, she’s one from one at this level, 212 over the 7f trip and runs well in small fields, winning two of three efforts in races of seven or fewer runners.
The biggest threat is likely to be Broughton’s Charm, who has been in good nick herself this year. After finishing third at Kempton on the back of a three-month break, she won at Southwell over today’s trip before a narrow defeat at Warwick. She may well have only finished fourth of 11 last time out, but closer inspection shows that was a better race than this one at a higher grade and the first four home were only separated by neck, nose, neck. She was running off 75, as she does here, but the winner there was rated at 86.
If Broughton’s Charm can run to a similar level today, she has every chance of landing the spoils at 3/1 BOG.
This is a pretty poor contest, if truth be told and with the withdrawal of leading contender Mr Lando, the door could well be open for last year’s winner of this race, Monopoli to take it again. He’s 2 from 2 over course and distance, including once on soft ground, as he’ll face today. He has actually won once and been placed three other times from his five starts on ground softer than good, so conditions should be ideal for him today in a race that shouldn’t take much winning at 11/4 BOG (Stan James)
Banreenahreenkah is the other C&D winner in the field today, having landed a seller here back in October. She has been in the frame in two sellers this month already and looks to make it third time lucky today, after a disappointing time away hurdling. She had been running well prior to winning that seller here last year and has a win and two places from five efforts at this trip alongside her record of a win and 2 places from 4 runs here at Leicester. That seller in October when she was a 5/4 winning favourite was her only effort over C&D, so she’ll look to defend that record today. You can get 4/1 BOG about her doing so with BoyleSports
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Trixie Malone / Monopoli @ 12.13/1 (5/2 & 11/4 : Stan James)
Trixie Malone / Banreenahreenkah @ 15.25/1 (9/4 & 4/1: BoyleSports)
Broughton’s Charm / Monopoli @ 14/1 (3/1 & 11/4 : Stan James)
Broughton’s Charm / Banreenahreenkah @ 17.75/1 (11/4 & 4/1 : BoyleSports)