Double Dutch, 31st May 2014
Friday was a good day for us, as firstly Hillbilly Boy maintained his consistent excellent run of form and although he’ll get hit hard again for his east 5 length victory, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him win again very soon.
If anything, race 2 went even better with a 1-2 finish and an 8/1 forecast to boot. You’re Fired finished the race in impressive/imperious mood sweeping from last to first inside the final furlong to get up by a neck and land a 12/1 double for us.
It’s possibly a little churlish/greedy, but had he not quite made it and ended up second, the forecast would have been higher and the double would have paid out at 22/1. Nevertheless, it really was a good day after recent frustrations.
Friday’s results were as follows:
Hillbilly Boy: won at 2/1 (adv 10/3)
Victoire de Lyphar: u/p at 5/1 (adv 5/1)
You’re Fired: won at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Regiment: 2nd at 9/2 (adv 5/1)
Results to date:
245 winning selections from 878 = 27.90%
78 winning bets in 229 days = 34.06%
P/L : +36.41pts (+7.98% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
It was nice to get back to winning ways, here’s hoping for more of the same from these…
Sirius Prospect is a dual course and distance winner, the most recent of which was a Listed event. He has an overall record of 9 wins from 35 starts and in addition to two wins at Listed class, he is unbeaten in three starts at this lower sub-£20,000 Class 2 level. He has won three times here at York and has a record of two wins and two places from six runs on soft ground and is a 7/2 BOG shot to improve upon those figures.
Best of Order is making only his third start in the UK at the age of 7 yrs old and was a winner last time out on his debut for the David O’Meara yard when winning over 7f on heavy ground at Doncaster almost three weeks ago. That run came after a 7-months absence from the track, so there’s every chance he’ll be able to come on for that run. He won six races in France at 6 to 8 furlongs on ground from good all the way to very soft, so conditions shouldn’t be an issue here and he can be backed at 5/2 BOG with Coral.
If all goes to plan, this should be a “shoot-out” between Cool Macavity and Purple Bay.
Cool Macavity is currently the 3/1 BOG favourite and comes here after a great run of form over the last 12 months or so since switching to hurdling after a moderate flat racing career, where he has won four of his last seven outings. He is four from six at the 16 to 17 furlong range of trip and his win last time out in a Grade 2 race at Punchestown is the best piece of recent form on offer here.
Purple Bay is also in good nick with a 11422 record over hurdles and only beaten by less than a length on his last two outings. I find it fairly significant that AP McCoy rides this horse for the first time here and should the ground soften any further, that will also play to his strengths. He was a winner on his only previous visit to Stratford and is 9/2 BOG with Bet365 to preserve that 100% record.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Best of Order / Cool Macavity @ 13/1 (5/2 & 3/1 : Betfair Sportsbook)
Best of Order / Purple Bay @ 16.88/1 (9/4 & 9/2 : Bet365)
Sirius Prospect / Cool Macavity @ 17/1 (7/2 & 3/1 : Stan James)
Sirius Prospect / Purple Bay @ 22.83/1 (10/3 & 9/2 : Bet365)