Double Dutch, 11th June 2014
A winner and a runner-up was the outcome from Tuesday, with Aiyana beaten by just under three lengths in the opener, having ran well but couldn’t respond to the winner’s kick for home in the last furlong of their 2 mile encounter on the A/W.
This rendered race 2 largely irrelevant, but a little pride was salvaged with Bob Keown’s win at Worcester, where he stayed on best to just beat a gallant 25/1 shot in the closing stages.
More crossbar rattling, I’m afraid, but at the risk of repeating myself, we’re really not that far away from a decent run. We’re finding on average 6.37 winners per 6-day week, they’re just not landing together on the same day!
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Aiyana: 2nd at 7/4 (adv 9/4)
Munsarim: u/p at 7/1 (adv 7/1)
Bob Keown: won at 7/4 (adv 9/4)
On The Bridge: u/p at 11/4 (adv 11/2)
Results to date:
253 winning selections from 913 = 27.71%
80 winning bets in 238 days = 33.61%
P/L : +31.63pts (+6.67% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
This is how I’m seeing Wednesday…
Magic of Reality has probably still got scope for improvement and acquitted herself well on her seasonal reappearance at Kempton just over seven weeks ago. She was third in a Listed contest that day, beaten by just two lengths whilst staying on, despite being hampered with a furlong to run.
That race came on the back of a 203-day absence and she gets to run off the same mark of 90 here today. This is quite a drop in class for her here back to Class 3 racing where she has won in the past and despite concerns about the going, she should have more than enough to see the others off at 4/1 BOG.
There are several others in this with claims for consideration here, but I’m siding with the Chosen Character from the in-form Tom Dascombe yard. A reasonable career record of 7 wins from 44 improves to a very healthy 3/10 here at Haydock and with three other placed runs at this track, he seems to save his best for this place.
He was second over course and distance last time out and was only narrowly defeated late on in his bid to add to his two previous C&D wins which came on Good to Soft and Heavy ground. Track, trip and conditions are set to suit and the booking of a pro jockey is a positive step in his bod to win at 4/1 BOG.
Economic Crisis loves it here at Hamilton, winning on five previous visits, including one over course and distance. She was a little slow to get away and running last time out, having reared at the start, but made ground well and was staying on at the end to finish 3rd, less than 1.5 lengths off the leader. That was a fortnight ago over C&D and she had Amenable a neck behind her and the latter has run since and won by four lengths over this 6f trip.
She’s 21201 from her last five efforts on soft ground, so conditions will suit today and running off the same mark with a better jockey on board, she could very well take this at a very long-looking 7/1 BOG (possible E/W bet here).
Khelman looks the biggest danger on paper and with C&D success under his belt and a liking for cut in the ground, it’s easy to see why. He won over course and distance two starts ago and whilst beaten into 4th place last time out, he wasn’t disgraced stepping up in trip.
He has one win and four runner-up finishes in his last eight outings and was only narrowly defeated in two stronger big-field handicaps at Doncaster on soft ground prior to his latest win and is priced up at 100/30 BOG here.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Magic of Reality / Khelman @ 18.50/1 (7/2 & 10/3 : BetVictor & Coral)
Magic of Reality / Economic Crisis @ 35/1 (7/2 & 7/1 : Coral)
Chosen Character / Khelman @ 20.67/1 (4/1 & 10/3 : BetFred, BetVictor & Coral)
Chosen Character / Economic Crisis @ 39/1 (4/1 & 7/1 : Coral & PP)