Double Dutch, 21st June 2014
Back to winning ways yesterday, making it three winning doubles from the last four days. Let’s see if we can improve on that today, with a bit of a chance taken in leg two…
Friday’s results were as follows:
Rum And Butter: won at 6/4 (adv 5/4)
Wake Your Dreams: 3rd at 11/8 (adv 7/2)
Southfield Royale: won at 10/11 (adv 6/4)
Chilly Miss: 3rd at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
Results to date:
262 winning selections from 945 = 27.72%
83 winning bets in 247 days = 33.6%
P/L : +28.71pts (+5.8% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We get underway with what looks a complete match between Gone Platinum and Riverside City. The former is a bumper winner on good ground – turf the same as today’s – who ran well behind the smart Western Boy the time before. I think he’ll probably win, but if not he looks to have just one serious rival in Riverside City, second and third in maiden hurdles at this trip on softer than good. The slightly quicker ground could be in his favour.
In truth, I find it almost impossible to see anything else winning. They’ve all had at least one run, and barely any of them have shown much more than that they can raise a leg. I’m really surprised they bet 5/4, 7/4, and that’ll do for leg one. (Cue unheralded rag spoiling the party!)
Hopefully we’ll still be rolling by ten-to-five, when Ayr hosts a Listed fillies sprint over five furlongs. The market is made here by a 3/1 favourite who, in six runs in Class 1 (Listed five times, Group 3 once) has finished 670049. She is talented and she could conceivably win, but she’s a truly awful price to my eye. That lets us in with a couple at healthy odds, Hay Chewed and Reroute.
Hay Chewed is pacy, but she’s drawn away from where the speed duel looks like playing out. With luck then, she can track that pace and kick towards the finish. In any case, she loves good to firm (form of 321), she’s unexposed after just eight runs, and she ran a neck second in 5f Listed class last week, so she’s in form.
Reroute’s cards will be played later most likely and, in a field full of fleet-footed fillies, that could work out well. This lass was quick enough to run fifth to Rizeena in last year’s Albany Stakes, and was second in the same Bath Listed contest that the favourite – Swan Song – was fourth. That was her first run of the season and, with just five career starts, she’s open to more improvement than most. 9/2 and 6/1 this pair is tempting, despite the cash for the jolly.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Gone Platinum / Reroute @ 11.38/1 (5/4 & 9/2 : Boyle)
Gone Platinum / Hay Chewed @ 13.63/1 (5/4 & 11/2 : totesport)
Riverside City / Reroute @ 14.13/1 (11/10 & 9/2 : bet365)
Riverside City / Hay Chewed @ 17.34/1 (13/8 & 6/1: BetVictor)