Double Dutch, 26th June 2014
We were victim to a rare de Sousa ‘scolded cat’ job yesterday, when the normally reliable pace judge hurtled down Carlisle’s five furlong shot as fast and as early as he could. By the final marker, his mount Bondi Beach Boy was spent and so was our stake money.
Carla Bianca won the Listed contest snugly, enhancing her fine record on fast ground. In again today then…
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Bondi Beach Boy: 4th at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Avon Breeze: 5th at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Carla Bianca: 3rd at 13/8 (adv 15/8 Rule 4 applied)
Palace: 2nd at 6/4 (adv 11/4, Rule 4 applied)
Results to date:
268 winning selections from 961 = 27.89%
85 winning bets in 251 days = 33.86%
P/L : +33.00pts (+6.57% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Really competitive fare today, and some pretty good races, none more so perhaps than this Class 2 mile handicap. I’m taking the bookends in the weights, the top one being Fort Bastion. He’s earned his weight having competed in Listed class and in a Royal Ascot handicap since winning a similar contest to this four starts back. That was a Class 2 mile handicap on decent ground, and he has those same conditions again. There’s a little bit of pace in the race which should suit his hold up style, though personally I wouldn’t want to see him too far off the gallop.
At the other end of the weights, the class riser is Baraweez. Brian Ellison’s four year old has won two of his last three starts, both in Class 4, including one on good to firm. His last win was an easy one, though it was over a furlong further and on soft ground. So, he could benefit from a strong gallop in a better race, or he could be less well suited. That’s the chance we take!
There are plenty of other possible winners in the field on a day of limited confidence from your scribe.
If we can get a winner in leg one, we’ll have a couple of nice tickets rolling onto the second half, a Class 4 fillies’ handicap. The favourite, Flycatcher, looks solid and forms half of leg two. She’s won two of her four starts this term, including in higher class last time. In between, she caught an in-form Mayfield Boy and only went down by a nose. Conditions look good for a decent run, and she will be close to the pace throughout.
At a big price against her, Hala Hala returns to favourable conditions after a couple of runs on unsuitable footing. She’s won two of her five starts since her debut in a Newbury maiden that was packed with subsequent winners and, though she has to categorically prove she’s trained on, she would have disliked the soft ground last time and may well have hated the Southwell quicksand the time before. She’s slipped to a pound below her last winning mark, and at 9/1 is worth chancing.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Baraweez / Flycatcher @ 9.31/1 (10/3 & 11/8 : BetVictor)
Baraweez / Hala Hala @ 42.3/1 (10/3 & 9/1 : bet365)
Fort Bastion / Flycatcher @ 19.23/1 (15/2 & 11/8 : Skybet)
Fort Bastion / Hala Hala @ 79.75/1 (15/2 & 17/2 : BetVictor)