Northumberland Plate in 60 Seconds…

Northumberland Plate Trends 2014

Northumberland Plate preview and trends

Northumberland Plate preview

All of the below are since 1997.

17/17 ran between eight and sixty days ago

14/17 winners finished in the top five last time out

14/17 ran over two miles or more last time out

13/17 won or were beaten three lengths or less last time out

11/17 had won at the distance (just 3% of non-two mile winners prevailed – 6 from 196)

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Four of the ten horses since 1997 to run in a National Hunt race last time won this (+65 points) and another two were placed!

Those satisfying the main trends are Angel Gabrial and Noble Silk.

Those satisfying the main four (i.e. not the ‘won at distance’ trend) are Suegioo (won Chester Vase over 2m3f) and Nearly Caught (2nd to Noble Silk over two miles last time)

The National Hunt last time out pair are Buthelezi and Mawaqeet

Although both are potentially sub-optimally drawn, I’m siding with Noble Silk and Suegioo.

Northumberland Plate value picks:

Noble Silk 16/1 Skybet FIVE places

Suegioo 12/1 Skybet FIVE places

Tiny nibbles:

Mawaqeet 33/1 Skybet FIVE places

Buthelezi 40/1 Skybet FIVE places

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