Double Dutch, 5th July 2014
Another successful double yesterday, as two favourites combined to give us a 7.31/1 double. And although 7.31/1 won’t make us rich overnight, it’s a good deal better than the 5.47/1 returned at SP, after both winners were well backed.
Race 2 was a tight affair, after the top two in the market traded places. Gambol, who was 4/1 overnight and then advised at 5/2 was eventually sent off at 15/8 and just got up on the line to beat I’m Harry by a nose. The latter had drifted out to 7/2 and had he held on, we’d have been celebrating a 9.69/1 win, but we can’t have it all our own way and there was the consolation of a 7.7/1 exacta to ease the pain.
All the above was made possible by Windhoek following the script earlier in the afternoon, winning by just over a couple of lengths at Sandown, giving us yet another good day and taking the week’s tally to 4 winning days from 5.
Friday’s results were as follows:
Windhoek: won at 5/4 (adv 11/8)
Educate: u/p at 9/2 (adv 7/2)
Gambol: won at 15/8 (adv 5/2)
I’m Harry: 2nd at 7/2 (adv 5/2)
The Exacta paid out at 7.70/1 here
Results to date:
279 winning selections from 993 = 28.01%
90 winning bets in 258 days = 34.63%
P/L : +60.00pts (+11.58% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Last ones for this week are as follows…
Matravers is the least exposed of an ordinary looking field here on his handicap debut and he represents the in form Stoute yard. He has only raced three times to date, but looks to have scope to improve and would fit the pattern of a Stoute late-season 3yr old improver. He has shown promise in his prior runs and this wouldn’t take much winning to be honest.
It’s not always the best guide, but his purchase cost, breeding and yard placement suggest that better things are yet to come and today could well be that day at a fairly attractive 9/4 BOG.
Persian Bolt wasn’t beaten by far over course and distance six weeks ago on heavy ground which seemed to sap her energy late on and it is hoped/expected she’ll go a little better here today. That run probably sets the standard here and her trainer fits her with blinkers for he first time today, but the yard has a good record with horses wearing them first time up.
There’s not a great deal more to say about a fairly mediocre contest and Persian Bolt just about gets the nod over Heska as my backup plan at 11/4 BOG. I think Heska will do well for his new trainer in races to come, but might just need this run today (224 days since last seen and 313 since his last effort on turf).
6/4 BOG favourite Roseburg should take this fairly comfortably in all goes to plan. He’s a progressive sort who is 2 from 2 this season, he’s the only horse in the race with any soft ground form, having won over today’s trip on soft ground four weeks ago at Doncaster. Andrea Atzeni is here to ride, missing out on the opportunity to ride Kingston Hill in the Eclipse and he’ll want to make the trip worth his while no doubt.
The selection does admittedly step up in weight and class today and if he doesn’t quite pull it off, then I’d expect Tanseeb to be the main beneficiary. He looked like he wanted a longer trip last time out when second by a short head to Sea Shanty over a mile at Sandown. The latter has since gone on to finish 4th (2.5 lengths defeat) in the Royal Hunt Cup, so Tanseeb’s narrow defeat is put into good context there.
I fancy him to enjoy the extra 2f and with only a 2lb rise for that latest excellent run, the assessor has given him more than a fighting chance at odds of 4/1 BOG. The soft ground is, of course, a concern, but that would apply to all of his rivals bar our main selection.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Matravers / Roseburg @ 7.13/1 (9/4 & 6/4 : BetFred)
Matravers / Tanseeb @ 15.25/1 (9/4 & 4/1 : BetFred)
Persian Bolt/ Roseburg @ 7.75/1 (5/2 & 6/4 : BetFred)
Persian Bolt / Tanseeb @ 16.50/1 (5/2 & 4/1 : Coral & BetFred)