Double Dutch, 31st July 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 31st July 2014

Double Dutch is as streaky as streaky bacon, and has nominated more piggies over the months too! But yesterday was a second winning double in succession, and one where we smashed up the prices to boot.

Brown Eyed Honey got the ball rolling with an easy two length win at Redcar, where our other selection was a non-runner. Then, in leg two, which followed almost directly afterwards, Mister Nibbles was smashed into and duly obliged at 13/8, having been 3/1 when we backed him.

That all made for a 10.5/1 winning double after the Rule 4, and a win single at 3/1 to boot. Not a bad day’s work, a 5.75 unit profit.

Wednesday’s results were as follows:

Brown Eyed Honey: won at 11/8 (adv 5/2, 25p R4)
Mr McLaren: NR
Mister Nibbles: won at 13/8 (adv 3/1)
Kie: 4th at 13/2 (adv 9/4)

Results to date:
305 winning selections from 1073 = 28.32%
101 winning bets in 280 days = 35.84%

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Stakes: 562.00pts
Returns: 630.06pts

P/L : +68.06pts (+12.11% ROI)


2.45 Stratford:

Summer jumping again makes up the double today, and we’re away to Shakespeare country for a selling hurdle. Normally, I like the highest rated horses all other things being equal but I’m swerving Banyan Tree, who hasn’t run for two years and looked regressive when last seen. There will likely be a day for him but, unless money arrives, it’s not going to be today.

The two to focus on are second highest rated Mulligan’s Man and in-form Debt To Society.

Mulligan’s Man has run some sound races in defeat on fast ground, and he’s actually dropped from a ratings high of 135. So, he’s clearly not the force of old, but nor will he need to be to better a group of horses whose combined ratings hardly reaches that lofty perch!

Debt To Society is the solid one, having been first or second in four of his last five starts. Those were all at lowly levels, but this isn’t the Cheltenham Festival either. I am slightly worried about very quick ground for him, but will take the chance.


5.30 Stratford:

A five runner handicap chase contested entirely by horses that don’t like winning rounds out our ‘swervy’ double. Istherealdifference is the obvious one, despite having more seconds than a minute to his name. In fairness to him, he just failed to catch the winner last time, under identical conditions to today, and only went down a head. A repeat of that will get it done.

If he finds a way to lose again, then The Absent Mare might be the one to sneak in. Far from reliable herself, she’s still more reliable than the rest, with the likes of Go Ruby Go and Apache Dawn flattering on countless occasions. The Absent Mare deserves another chance at two and a half miles now she’s in better form and, if her jumping stands the test – she’s been the absent-minded mare a few times – then she’ll trouble the judge.

It wouldn’t be a confident double today, but I’ll be playing up yesterday’s winnings all the same!

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:

Debt To Society / Istherealdifference @ 6.21/1 (13/8 & 7/4 : BetVictor)
Debt To Society / The Absent Mare @ 12,1/1 (13/8 & 4/1 : totesport)
Mulligan’s Man /
Istherealdifference @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : Betfair Sportsbook)
Mulligan’s Man / The Absent Mare @ 19/1 (3/1 & 4/1 : Betfair Sportsbook)

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