Double Dutch, 6th August 2014
Double Dutch
Double Dutch, 6th August 2014
It was a difficult/frustrating day for Matt’s last effort in the DD hotseat during my Moroccan sojourn.
In what eventually transpired to be a blank day, there was an eerie symmetry to the way the two races unfolded in the South of Wales.
Both favourites were comfortably beaten and even failed to make the frame, whilst our two longer priced horses were both beaten in to second place by a winners at decent odds.
Golden Jubilee made all to win the opener at 11/1, beating Scoppio del Carro by half a length, whilst Shimba Hills was a 6/1 winner of our second race. A nice 83/1 double to deny us getting on the scoresheet, nice work to anyone who got those!
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Scoppio del Carro: 2nd at 5/2 (adv 11/4)
Light Of Asia: 3rd at 6/4 (adv 15/8)
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Tullia: 2nd at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Purple Lane: 5th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
309 winning selections from 1091 = 28.32%
102 winning bets in 285 days = 35.79%
Stakes: 572.00pts
Returns: 634.19pts
P/L : +62.19pts (+10.87% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
My first day back in the saddle, so to speak (not that I’d subject any poor horse to my holiday weight gain!) and here’s how I’m playing it on Wednesday…
Imshivalla beat El Beau by just length over course and distance three weeks ago and these are the two that I’d want to side with here today. Imshivalla has steadily improved this season and it appears the the fitting of a hood for her last two outings has done the trick with her finishing second at Haydock a fortnight prior to that C&D win here last time out. She’s only up 2lbs in the weights, so I’d expect another bold show from her here today at 9/4 BOG.
However, the hood isn’t being worn today and the extra 2lb swing for El Beau makes him my marginal pick at 11/4 BOG. He’s a very consistent sort, finishing in the first three home in all bar two of his nine starts to date. He ended last season on a high, winning for the first time on only his second attempt at this one mile trip. he has been narrowly beaten into third place on both his starts this year (1.75 lengths after a 254 day absence and a length last time out). There shouldn’t be much in this one today and I think he might just shade it.
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Not much (not any!) winning form to go on with these runners, but the standout performance must be the runner-up position secured by Wintour Leap last time out. She stayed on well enough after being off the track for almost 8 months and although she couldn’t catch the winner, she was well clear of a fairly strung out field behind her. That was her first attempt at this type of trip, stepping up 3.5f for that outing at bath and she’s sure to come on for the run. Some might say she’s been a bit harshly treated with a 3lb rise for that effort, but it’s clearly the best piece of work in this field and she must be the one to beat at 2/1 BOG.
The one who looks most likely to chase her home is Bowberry, who has shown some fleeting glimpses of promise in three maidens at 1m2f, but has always looked like she needed further. She gets an extra 2f here today and with Adam Kirby in the saddle cannot be discounted, especially as she drops down another grade (Class 4 two starts ago, C5 LTO & C6 today). It wouldn’t be a massive surprise were she to take this on her handicap debut, now at a more suitable trip and she can be backed at 3/1 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Imshivalla / Wintour Leap @ 8.75/1 (9/4 & 2/1 : Stan James)
Imshivalla / Bowberry @ 11/1 (2/1 & 3/1 : BetVictor)
El Beau / Wintour Leap @ 10.25/1 (11/4 & 2/1 : BetVictor & Betfred)
El Beau / Bowberry @ 14/1 (11/4 & 3/1 : BetVictor)
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