Double Dutch, 18th August 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 18th August 2014

A two lengths defeat to a horse carrying no weight over three miles at Market Rasen was all that stood between us and another winning double at 13/1 on Saturday evening.

It was a strange evening, as both longer priced selections performed best, after both had been well backed to become race favourites. At Lingfield Sweetheart Abbey was backed in from our advised 11/4 down to 6/4 and despite not getting as clear a run as she’d have liked, still had enough to score by almost a length and a half.

So, all eyes turned to Lincolnshire, where Master of the Hall (7/4 from 11/4) looked to improve his impressive track record and travelled really well throughout and looked well positioned to win approaching the last. The eventual winner Tarvini, however, found a little extra on the run in to win by a couple of lengths at 9/1.

Perhaps my fears about the rise in weight were proved correct, as the winner was carrying 21lbs (inc jockey allowances) less than the runner-up with our other selection and original favourite, Maison de Ville, a further three lengths back and carrying another 7lbs more than the runner-up.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Sweetheart Abbey: won at 6/4 (adv 11/4)
Anjin: u/p at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
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Master of the Hall: 2nd at 7/4 (adv 11/4)
Maison de Ville: 3rd at 11/4 (adv 15/8)

Results to date:
325 winning selections from 1130 = 28.76%
108 winning bets in 295 days = 36.61%

Stakes: 592.00pts
Returns: 670.94pts

P/L : +78.94pts (+13.33% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

It was no disaster on Saturday, but Monday is a new day and the start of a whole new week of challenges, kicking off with the…

2.00 Kempton:

A trappy little affair to start proceedings with none of the five runners being shy about getting on with things.  Pull The Pin has finished third in each of his last three races and runs here off a workable mark of 61, having been placed off 62 earlier in the year and his last win came off 64. He has been knocking on the door of late and a good draw here (stall 1) allied to an eye-catching booking of Richard Hughes in the saddle has to give him every chance here at a generally available 11/4 BOG.

The current 9/4 BOG (Stan James) favourite is Gulland Rock and he has been very consistent since moving into handicap company with a record reading 1612223. His yard is in good nick at the moment and this race looks weaker than some of those he has narrowly failed to win of late. A 1lb easing of his mark is sure to help and provided the switch back to an A/W surface doesn’t affect him too much, I’d expect him to be involved at the end.

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6.00 Windsor:

William Haggas’ horses have been running really well for a while now with a consistent 30% win strike rate over the last two months and whilst his runner here, Jacob’s Pillow has been raised a pound for a runner-up finish at Bath last time out, I think he’ll still be very competitive here today. Never our of the first three home so far (23212) he drops in class here today which should make his task easier, considering he was only beaten by a length and a half on ground that was too quick for him last time out.

He was a winner under Ryan Moore two starts ago on his seasonal reappearance and Ryan is back in the saddle today at the expense of claimer Nathan Allison and the extra class/experience of the jockey here might also just be enough to help secure a victory at Stan James’ 9/4 BOG.

He might however, struggle to concede 12lbs to Newton’s Law, who despite being winless after nine races so far, has been very consistent this season with a run of form reading 2232332. He was only beaten by three parts of a length of ground that clearly too soft for him here over course and distance last Monday. The going should be more to his liking today and he re-opposes his victor (My Inspiration) on 6lb better terms.

He didn’t, admittedly, find much when push came to shove last week and it is expected/hoped that the application of a hood will do the trick this evening. Richard Hughes takes the ride and has steered this one to two runner-up finishes so far, so he should be getting used to the way this one behaves now. The pull in weight, the better ground and the hood should all hopefully combine to give us a good run for our money at 7/2 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:

Gulland Rock / Jacob’s Pillow @ 9.56/1 (9/4 & 9/4 : Stan James)
Gulland Rock / Newton’s Law @ 13.63/1 (9/4 & 7/2 : Ladbrokes)
Pull The Pin / Jacob’s Pillow @ 11.19/1 (11/4 & 9/4 : Stan James)
Pull The Pin / Newton’s Law @ 15.88/1 (11/4 & 7/2 : SkyBet, BetVictor & Betfair Sports)