Double Dutch, 22nd August 2014
A dismal fifteen minutes at tea-time yesterday represented a bad day at the office for the Double Dutch, I’m afraid.
Firstly Jaja de Jau and City Line could only finish 4th and 5th respectively in a 6 -horse race with neither really showing much for us and then this was compounded shortly after at Bath, where the odds-on First Sargeant and Cataria Girl finished 2nd and 3rd of five runners.
On a day with no winners and just one short-priced placer from my four selections, it was hard to find a positive for my efforts. It’s clutching at straws perhaps, but my two best placed runners would have produced a 10/1 smashing the SP price of 4.73/1, so at least value was on our side!
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Jaja De Jau: u/p at 2/1 (adv 3/1)
City Line: u/p at 5/1 (adv 9/2)
First Sargeant: 2nd at 10/11 (adv 15/8)
Cataria Girl: u/p at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Results to date:
329 winning selections from 1146 = 28.71%
109 winning bets in 299 days = 36.45%
P/L : +76.19pts (+12.70% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I’m hoping for better from these today…
Rekdhat has won twice and finished second once in her four starts to date. She has improved steadily and has benefited from wearing a hood in her last two outings. She was a winner last time out, beating Joys of Spring who has won since and Hedge End who has two runner-up finishes at a higher grade to his name since that race at Windsor. I’m not convinced that a 6lb rise in weight will be enough to stop her progression here and Rekdhat looks the likely winner for me at 5/2 BOG with Ladbrokes.
Psychometry looks a big danger, though and despite not winning a race this season (4385 in four starts), does have plenty of potential as demonstrated by two second places and a win from her debut season last year.In her defence, all four runs this season have been in Listed company and this represents a major step down in class today. She was 8th in the Rockingham at Ascot back in June, but was by means disgraced and/or outclassed, finishing just 3.5 lengths off the pace over today’s trip.
The handicapper hasn’t taken too many chances with her at a mark of 90, but if Psychometry runs to anything like her potential, a win at 11/4 BOG could well be on the cards.
Wordismybond has been in excellent form this season, finishing 211 in his three starts this year. He overcame an 8-month absence to only be beaten by a neck at Sandown in July, for which he was “rewarded” by a 2lb rise in the weights. He shrugged that aside by winning by two lengths on turf at Lingfield nine days later. This put him up another 5lbs to a mark of 70, but he won again a week ago at Newbury by three parts of a length.
He runs off the same mark today and Richard Hughes takes the ride ahead of the claimer who was on board last time, suggesting that’s there’s still more to be eked out of this one. There are, however, a couple of reasons, why he’s as long as 5/2 BOG despite being 5lbs well in here. He quite possibly won’t be allowed to dictate the pace of the race this time and with a wide (10 of 11) draw to overcome, it’ll take the best efforts of his top jockey to get him handy. That said, 5/2 BOG still looks like good value for Wordismybond here.
Half Way is probably the best of the rest and when you factor in his 5lb weight for age allowance and his jockey’s 5lb claim, he’s carrying pretty much no weight here over a trip he’s used to but not overexposed at. Amy Scott has ridden him five times over this 7f trip, winning once with two runner-up medals so far and they were winners at Lingfield by four lengths last time out.
He obviously comes here in good heart and does look the best of the three year olds in a poor-looking contest full of exposed older horses trying to find a way back into some form. The main selection aside, there doesn’t seem to be too many “1’s” in the recent form lines of the runners here, so Half Way is my next best for this one at 9/2 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:
Rekdhat / Wordismybond @ 10.38/1 (9/4 & 5/2 are widely available)
Rekdhat / Half Way @ 16.88/1 (9/4 & 9/2 at BetVictor, BetFred & Coral)
Psychometry / Wordismybond @ 12.13/1 (11/4 & 5/2 at BetVictor, BoyleSports & Stan James)
Psychometry / Half Way @ 19.63/1 (11/4 & 9/2 at BetVictor, BetFred & Coral)