Double Dutch, 27th August 2014
More crossbar rattling yesterday, I’m afraid as Mighty Missile’s half-length defeat to top weighted Kodicil was the difference between success and failure for us, meaning that Echo Brava’s good win at Wolverhampton counted for nothing but my pride.
At the other extreme, the other two runners we selected ran poorly and both were last home in their respective races.
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Mighty Missile: 2nd at 5/4 (adv 15/8)
Annes Valentino: u/p at 11/2 (adv 4/1)
Echo Brava: won at 5/2 (adv 7/2)
Dino Mite: u/p at 7/2 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
332 winning selections from 1162 = 28.57%
109 winning bets in 303 days = 35.97%
P/L : +70.19pts (+11.58% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I’m still not quite off the cold list, but I feel we’re getting pretty close, could these get me back on the winning way?
You’re My Cracker hasn’t finished out of the first three home in any of her five starts to date despite failing to win (33222) and this must represent her best/easiest chance of breaking her duck. Her better efforts have come on turf, so it’s good to see her back on grass today and I’d expect her to be better dropping back tot he bare minimum 5f trip and failing to last home over 6f at Carlisle a month ago. She was caught on the line that day and a repeat of that effort could well be good enough at the shorter trip.
Wiseton showed great improvement last time out on only second start, finishing second at Thirsk and only headed late on. Further improvement is expected from this one, as many of the Nicholls’ sprinters do. He still showed some signs of greenness, but there were some promising signs at Thirsk and if You’re My Cracker fails to deliver again, he’s the most likely beneficiary in my eyes.
Lady Zodiac has been knocking on the door of late, with three consecutive runner-up finishes in the last six weeks. Each of those three runs have been better than the previous outing and any further progression should be enough for her to finally break her maiden tag. Mind you, a repeat of her run at Brighton eight days ago should/could be enough as there was no disgrace in getting caught on the the final stride that day. She runs off the same mark again today and looks a decent proposition at up to 3/1 BOG, providing none of her rivals have improved massively from their last outings.
One who could/should cause a problem, though, is 9/4 BOG favourite Barchan. Although a form line of 857 in three maidens is no great shakes, his trainer Charlie Appleby switches him to the A/W for his handicap debut, a tactic the yard generally employs to good effect. His opening mark doesn’t look too punitive and in Cameron Hardie, they have a decent jockey with the added bonus of a 5lb claim. On pure form, he has something to find, but he’s not here to make up the numbers and I fancy him to chase the Lady home.
4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:
Wiseton/ Barchan @ 7.94/1 (7/4 & 9/4 : Hills)
Wiseton / Lady Zodiac @ 9.31/1 (7/4 & 11/4 : Boylesports & Hills)
You’re My Cracker / Barchan @ 9.56/1 (9/4 & 9/4 : Stan James)
You’re My Cracker / Lady Zodiac @ 12/1 (9/4 & 3/1 : Stan James)