Double Dutch, 2nd September 2014
Double Dutch, 2nd September 2014
No joy yesterday as we failed to even make the frame with either of our two runners in the the earlier race, meaning we had nothing to play with later.
We did, however, get a 1-2 finish and a consolatory £6.10 exacta in the second contest for those of you playing it that way.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Akiliyna: u/p at 5/4(adv 2/1)
Diylawa: u/p at 5/2 (adv 9/4)
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Fill Your Hands: won at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
Captain Carol: 2nd at 11/8 (adv Evs)
The Exacta paid £6.10 here
Results to date:
338 winning selections from 1181 = 28.62%
111 winning bets in 308 days = 36.04%
Stakes: 616.00pts
Returns: 685.84pts
P/L : +69.84pts (+11.34% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Prices are a little shorter than I’d generally like, but I can’t see past the top two in the market, who both come here on the back of decent third-place finishes on debut last month.
Cartier is the current 13/8 BOG favourite and comes here after running on well in the closing stages at Doncaster to make the frame. She’d been a little green initially, but was doing all her best work late on as the penny began to drop. She got the trip well enough and she holds an entry for group 1 contest over this trip, so better things are expected of her. Her trainer won this race last year and his yard is in decent nick.
Ted Durcan rode her on debut and he’s back in the saddle again and if she avoids trouble in running this time, looks to be a major player here today.
Next in line and trading at 15/8 BOG is Mystic Jade, another in a long line of Hannon/Hughes 2 yr olds. Richard Hughes has a great record here at Goodwood and was on board for Mystic Jade’s debut here 10 days ago. She was only defeated by two necks, as she was staying on strongly at the close and it is expected that today’s extra 2 furlongs will be right up her street.
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Eleven go to post for the meeting finale, but it looks a two-horse affair to me.
Last Minute Lisa has been running consistently well of late and despite being beaten into third place last time out produced a career best performance at Newbury to get within three parts of a length of the eventual winner, who had the benefit of having the race’s best jockey on board that day. No disrespect to the lady amateur riding last time out, but you’d have to feel that Richard Hughes might just be a little stronger in a tight finish.
As it was an amateur event, Last Minute Lisa runs off the same mark today, but the drop in class should be enough to get her back to winning ways at a generally available 3/1 BOG.
The main threat should come from Hallingham, who was a good winner at Sandown two starts ago, before only being touched off by half a length to a progressive sort at Lingfield last time out, despite a 9lb weight rise. He runs off the same mark today and his victor from Lingfield, Ragged Robbin, was an easy 4 lengths winner next time out. Another performance like that would put him right in the mix once again and could make his current 100/30 BOG odds look generous.
4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:
Cartier / Last Minute Lisa @ 9.50/1 (13/8 & 3/1 : SJ)
Cartier / Hallingham @ 10.38/1 (13/8 & 10/3 : SJ)
Mystic Jade / Last Minute Lisa @ 10.50/1 (15/8 & 3/1 : SJ)
Mystic Jade / Hallingham @ 11.46/1 (15/8 & 10/3 : SJ)
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