Double Dutch, 16th September 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 16th September 2014

Monday saw a return to winning ways, with two nice runs at decent prices from my first picks in each race.

Anginola won for the first time in 13 months (and 13 races!) and was finally rewarded for her consistency. The drop into a seller at a lower mark than her last previous win helped her to a comfortable 4 length win at 11/4.

This meant that all eyes were on Wolverhampton for their final race, where For Shia And Lula didn’t disappoint. He had to work hard, but stayed on to just fend off the advances of a fast-finishing 20/1 outsider to land his fourth win in 6 runs and land back to back C&D victories on the new Tapeta surface.

We’d taken 7/2 earlier about this 3/1 winner and with Anginola drifting slightly out to 11/4, we picked up a very handy 15.88/1 double on the day.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Anginola : won at 11/4 (adv 5/2)
Royal Mizar: u/p at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
——————————————
For Shia and Lula: won at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Sakash: u/p at 7/4 (adv 11/4)

Results to date:
349 winning selections from 1226 = 28.47%
115 winning bets in 319 days = 36.05%

Stakes: 639.50pts
Returns: 707.55pts

P/L : +68.05pts (+10.64% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

I now look for back to back wins of my own with these…

4.20 Chepstow:

Verse of Love was only beaten by two heads into third place in a much stronger race than this a week ago at Leicester. He has a 20% strike rate (6/30) over today’s trip and is a former course and distance winner. He drops back to Class 4 level today and was a winner the last time he ran at this level and gets to run off the same mark (82) as both is last run and his last win. Any repeat of either of those runs should be enough to see him home at 15/8 BOG.

The best of the rest could prove to be Charles Molson ahead of the reopposing Good Authority. These two met 10 days ago at Kempton when they finished 4th and 3rd respectively. There was only a head between them that day, but Good Authority is rated 8lbs higher on turf and that will probably be his undoing.

Charles Molson would probably have liked it a bit softer, but there does look to be enough pace in the race to ensure they go along quick enough, leaving the door open for him to come late with a run and a possible victory at 100/30 BOG.

*

4.30 Yarmouth:

Both Kinshasa and Alex Vino have won two of their last three outings, with Alex Vino actually winning three of his last five and three from six in his entire career. He battled on well to win by a head at Lingfield last time out and there does still seem to be more to come from him. He tired late on when finishing fourth at Pontefract two starts ago on his only attempt at 1m4f, but the stiff finish there didn’t help his cause at all. This is an easier track all round and the half furlong reduction in trip is also sure to aid his finishing ability.

Both trainer and jockey (Stoute & Moore) are in good touch of late and both have excellent records at this track and will be hopeful that Alex Vino can take his tally to four from seven with a win at 5/2 BOG today.

My marginal preference, however, is for Kinshasa, who won back to back races at 1m2f and 1m4f back in June, proving he’ll get the trip. He was then 7th of 10 (beaten 7 lengths) at Ascot over 1m4f after a very slow start. He lost the race withing the first half furlong and was then playing catch up. He stuck to his task well enough and that was a much stringer race than this one. That Ascot race has since produced four winners and the benefit of a two-month break should see Kinshasa fit and raring to bounce back and win at 2/1 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:

Verse of Love / Kinshasa @ 7.63/1 (15/8 & 2/1 : Boylesports)
Verse of Love / Alex Vino @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : Boylesports)
Charles Molson / Kinshasa @ 12/1 (100/30 & 2/1 : Stan James)
Charles Molson / Alex Vino @ 14.17/1 (100/30 & 5/2 : Boylesports)