Double Dutch, 26th September 2014
Yesterday’s results pretty much mirrored the way that Wednesday went, I’m afraid!
We had a solid winner in race 1, followed by third and fourth placed finishes in the second contest. Our sole winner being the Twiston-Davies runner in the bumper who made all to comfortably win by five lengths, whilst the closest we came to landing a 19/2 double was Charlies Star’s third place run at Kempton.
In fairness, he did little wrong and was just outsprinted late on, succumbing to a defeat by just three parts of a length. Close, but not close enough for him or us.
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Kilronan High: won at 2/1 (adv 15/8)
Paddy’s Yarn: u/p at 11/4 (adv 5/2)
Charlies Star: 3rd at 2/1 (adv 5/2)
Paris Carver: u/p at 6/4 (adv 13/8)
Results to date:
359 winning selections from 1261 = 28.47%
118 winning bets in 328 days = 35.98%
P/L : +64.50pts (+9.81% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Looking for a return to winning ways with these today…
After picking the winner in a bumper yesterday, I thought I’d have another crack at one today. Paolozzi ran well on debut to finish third at Ludlow back in December 2013 and was then put back in the shed until reappearing some 252 days later here at Worcester a month ago for a similar contest to today’s. He ran out a comfortable 12 lengths winner over course and distance that day and that piece of work sets the benchmark here today.
Paolozzi carries a penalty for that win, which will make things tougher, of course, but I still expect him to be there or thereabouts here after the way he demolished the field over the last two furlongs last time out and he is currently 2/1 BOG to go in again.
You can also get 15/8 BOG about his biggest threat Pied du Roi, who represents Charlie Longsdon, whose horses are in good from of late and also have a very good record at this track. This is just the horse’s second start, but showed plenty of promise when finishing second on debut in a slowly run race at Haydock. The pace map suggests there’s be a better gallop on today and this should suit him more than that last run.
Cosmic Ray has been banging on the door and getting closer and closer to a first win and this looks like one where he could finally step up after a couple of good runs ending in narrow defeats. He was held up in the rear (possibly slightly too long) at Chester last time out, before finishing strongly, staying on to take third place just a length and a quarter behind a winner he was gainnig on with every stride. If he stays a little closer to the action today, before the kick for home, he could well be a 7/4 BOG winner at the fourth attempt.
Red Touch has only raced once and that was four months ago, but if he runs to the level he did on debut, that could actually be enough to take a weak-looking affair here this evening. He was second on debut at Kempton and despite showing plenty of greenness was able to get his act together enough to get within a nose of the winner. He will come on for the experience of having been on a track now and it wouldn’t be too unrealistic to expect some natural progression either.
He stayed on strongly that day to suggest that the extra furlong today would help him get his nose in front and land the win at 100/30 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:
Paolozzi / Cosmic Ray @ 6.88/1 (2/1 & 13/8 : BetVictor)
Paolozzi / Red Touch @ 12/1 (2/1 & 10/3 : BetVictor)
Pied du Roi / Cosmic Ray @ 6.91/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : Coral)
Pied du Roi / Red Touch @ 11.46/1 (15/8 & 10/3 : Stan James & Betfair Sportsbook)