Double Dutch, 30th September 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 30th September 2014

The money came for Irish Girls Spirit (SP of 7/4 from our 10/3) and she proved to be a good bet. She made all under the stands side rail, eased down towards the finish once the job was done and still officially won by five lengths over 5 furlongs to land her second win in as many days! Rylee Mooch finished 7.5 lengths behind her back in 4th place.

We then had a two hour wait, which eventually was proved fruitless as our pair of 2/1 jt favs could only finish 3rd and 5th of six runners, beaten by three and nine lengths respectively.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Irish Girls Spirit: won at 7/4 (adv 10/3)
Rylee Mooch: u/p at 3/1 (adv 3/1)
——————————————
Her Red Devil: u/p at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Libra Romana: u/p at 2/1 (adv 15/8)

Results to date:
362 winning selections from 1273 = 28.44%
119 winning bets in 331 days = 35.95%

Stakes: 663.50pts
Returns: 729.31pts

P/L : +65.81pts (+9.92% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

No Irish Girls Spirit today, so I’ll try elsewhere…

3.15 Ayr:

The lightly raced (just 5 starts so far) Scrafton looks highly progressive and has been a different horse since a marked step up in trip for handicap contests. Three no-shows in maidens over 7.5f to 10f gave him an opening mark of 53 which he defied on handicap debut at Newcastle 25 days ago, winning over 2 miles. Ten days ago he reappeared at Catterick off 612 and stayed on well to land a 1m6f contest, despite the rise in weight and the step up from Class 4 to Class 6.

He has another 5lb rise to contend with today, but does drop down in class. I expect further improvement to come from Scrafton and I’d be surprised if he’s not the winner here at 9/4 BOG.

A Southside Boy is probably the best of the rest and he was a winner here at Ayr back in April over 1m5f off a mark 4lbs higher than today. He was won here a couple of times already, so is clearly happy around these parts and was only beaten by a length and two necks on his last outing, also here twelve days ago. He does have a bit to find to beat the main selection in my opinion, but does hold a few of today’s rivals on past performances. As a backup, he’s a decent option at 9/2 BOG.

3.25 Sedgefield:

Peachey Moment is a former course and distance winner and has been running creditably over the summer(353413) and can be excused for a below par run at Perth last time out. That was over three miles, which I feel is a stretch for him and he drops back to 2m4f today, where his record is much better. 4 of his 5 career wins have come from the 16 races at this trip or half a furlong further, but he doesn’t seem to get the three.

He has a 12 record here at Sedgefield and the bulk of his best performances have come in smaller fields like today. He’s in decent nick and should be there or thereabouts once again at 5/2 BOG.

Everylasting has improved of late since being paired up with decent 3lb claimer Craig Nichol. He was pulled up on his first run of the season, but that was understandable on the back of a 336 day absence from the track, but since then this partnership is 231. Everylasting pretty decimated a six runner field last time out stringing out his rivals to the extent that the runner-up was 18 lengths adrift and the last of five to finish was officially beaten by 79 lengths.

That was over 2m6f here at Sedgefield, so the course knowledge will help today and I can’t help but think that it’s only the 11lb rise in weight that has stopped him being priced shorter than his current 5/2 BOG pricetag.

4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:

Scrafton / Peachey Moment @ 10.38/1 (9/4 & 5/2: SkyBet, Betfred & Betfair)
Scrafton / Everylasting @ 10.38/1 (9/4 & 5/2 : BetVictor & Betfred)
A Southside Boy / Peachey Moment @ 18.25/1 (9/2 & 5/2: Bet365 & Stan James)
A Southside Boy / Everylasting @ 18.25/1 (9/2 & 5/2 : BetVictor)